Jiri Lehecka vs Matteo Berrettini: AI Prediction | Games, Spread, Aces & Double Faults

The model's edge for Lehecka comes mainly from overall strength and surface fit. Overall strength contributes 2.9 percentage points toward Lehecka, reflected in his higher ranking (12) and superior Elo (1811.89) compared with Berrettini (rank 40, Elo 1739.44). Surface fit adds 2.4 points to Lehecka, which matches his higher surface strength index on hard courts (37.72) versus Berrettini (28.86). Recent form and age also nudged the forecast toward Lehecka by 2.0 and 2.0 points respectively, according to the model. Note that birthdates were not provided here, so age is taken as a modeled input rather than a field to validate against the player data sheet. Serve and return game adds 1.7 points in Lehecka's favor. Lehecka posts a mean serve index of 97.69 and a mean return index of 87.80. Berrettini posts a mean serve index of 96.74 and a mean return index of 84.96. The serve index gap does not exceed 5 points, so neither player holds a clearly dominant serving edge by that metric. Fatigue is notable. Lehecka arrives with zero minutes on court in this event, while Berrettini carries 120 minutes of match time from Cincinnati already. That accumulated court time may blunt Berrettini's powerful ball striking in long rallies. Recent match patterns favor Lehecka marginally. Lehecka won two of his last three matches in Toronto before a straight sets loss to Rafael Jodar. Berrettini has one win in his last three, beating Titouan Droguet in a 120 minute opening match, and he lost two longer matches in Toronto and at Wimbledon.