Wimbledon Great Britain Grass Grand Slam Round of 128

Jacob Fearnley vs Joao Fonseca Prediction

Jacob Fearnley

Rank: #51
38%
VS

Joao Fonseca

Rank: #54
62%
Expected Total Games: 37.0
Predicted Winner: Joao Fonseca

Also available in Claude. Query these predictions in plain language — our native connector lets Claude call our models on demand, no code.

Set it up

Ranking Trends

Jacob Fearnley

  • Current #51 2025-06-30
  • 3 mo ago #73 2025-03-31
  • 6 mo ago #99 2024-12-30
  • 9 mo ago #98 2024-09-30
  • 12 mo ago #277 2024-07-01

Joao Fonseca

  • Current #54 2025-06-30
  • 3 mo ago #59 2025-03-31
  • 6 mo ago #145 2024-12-30
  • 9 mo ago #159 2024-09-30
  • 12 mo ago #216 2024-07-01

Player Metrics

Jacob Fearnley

Form Index: 41.6
ELO Rating: 996.2
Glicko2 Rating: 1552.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 6.6
Clay: 7.8
Grass: 6.3
Serve Rating: 96.1
Return Rating: 89.0

Joao Fonseca

Form Index: 42.6
ELO Rating: 1196.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1638.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 7.5
Clay: 9.1
Grass: 4.5
Serve Rating: 94.7
Return Rating: 86.6

Recent Matches

Jacob Fearnley
❌ ✅ ❌ ✅ ❌

Joao Fonseca
❌ ✅ ❌ ❌ ✅

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Jacob Fearnley
vs
1
Joao Fonseca
Hard
0 - 1
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Jacob Fearnley and Joao Fonseca at Wimbledon is set to be an intriguing contest in the Round of 128 on grass. The predicted winner is Joao Fonseca, with a probability of 62.16% for victory compared to Jacob Fearnley’s 37.84%. The match is expected to feature a total of around 37 games.

Match Analysis

Jacob Fearnley currently holds a rank of 51 and has a form index of 41.57, showing a moderate recent performance. His Elo rating stands at 996.22, indicating a solid skill level. Fearnley has a surface strength index of 6.33, which suggests some competence on grass, and he boasts a mean serve index of 96.06, outpacing Fonseca by more than 5 points. However, his mean return index of 88.99 is slightly above Fonseca’s 86.60, but the difference is not significant. Notably, Fearnley has faced challenges in his recent matches, losing two out of his last three, including a straight-set defeat to Marcos Giron. Conversely, Joao Fonseca, ranked 54, has a slightly better form index of 42.61 and a higher Elo rating of 1196.41. His surface strength index of 4.53 indicates he is less adept on grass compared to Fearnley. Fonseca’s mean serve index of 94.69 is lower than Fearnley's, yet his recent performances include a win against Zizou Bergs, which might boost his confidence despite a loss to Taylor Fritz in his last outing. This combination of factors presents Fonseca as a resilient competitor.

Final Prediction

Joao Fonseca's higher Elo rating and better recent form provide him with an edge in this matchup, despite a slightly lower serve index. A critical factor to observe will be how both players handle their service games, particularly Fearnley’s ability to capitalize on his strong serve against Fonseca’s return capabilities.

Get Daily Tennis Predictions

Enjoyed this analysis? Subscribe to our Telegram channel and receive daily AI-driven tennis predictions directly on your phone.

Join Our Telegram Channel