Wimbledon Great Britain Grass Grand Slam Round of 128

Jacob Fearnley vs Joao Fonseca Prediction

Jacob Fearnley

Rank: #51
38%
VS

Joao Fonseca

Rank: #54
62%
Predicted Games Played: 37.0
Predicted Winner: Joao Fonseca

Ranking Trends

Jacob Fearnley

  • Current Rank: #51 (2025-06-30)
  • 3 Months Ago: #73 (2025-03-31)
  • 6 Months Ago: #99 (2024-12-30)
  • 9 Months Ago: #98 (2024-09-30)
  • 12 Months Ago: #277 (2024-07-01)

Joao Fonseca

  • Current Rank: #54 (2025-06-30)
  • 3 Months Ago: #59 (2025-03-31)
  • 6 Months Ago: #145 (2024-12-30)
  • 9 Months Ago: #159 (2024-09-30)
  • 12 Months Ago: #216 (2024-07-01)

Player Metrics

Jacob Fearnley

Form Index: 41.6
ELO Rating: 996.2
Glicko2 Rating: 1552.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 6.6
Clay: 7.8
Grass: 6.3
Serve Rating: 96.1
Return Rating: 89.0

Joao Fonseca

Form Index: 42.6
ELO Rating: 1196.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1638.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 7.5
Clay: 9.1
Grass: 4.5
Serve Rating: 94.7
Return Rating: 86.6

Recent Matches

Jacob Fearnley
❌ ✅ ❌ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Marcos Giron (0-2) grass Eastbourne 63 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Flavio Cobolli (2-0) grass Eastbourne 65 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Jiri Lehecka (0-2) grass London 77 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Corentin Moutet (2-1) grass London 128 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Brandon Nakashima (1-2) grass Stuttgart 113 min

Joao Fonseca
❌ ✅ ❌ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Taylor Fritz (1-2) grass Eastbourne 122 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Zizou Bergs (2-1) grass Eastbourne 128 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Flavio Cobolli (1-2) grass Halle 164 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Jack Draper (0-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Pierre-Hugues Herbert (3-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Jacob Fearnley
vs
1
Joao Fonseca
Hard
0 - 1
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Jacob Fearnley and Joao Fonseca at Wimbledon is set to be an intriguing contest in the Round of 128 on grass. The predicted winner is Joao Fonseca, with a probability of 62.16% for victory compared to Jacob Fearnley’s 37.84%. The match is expected to feature a total of around 37 games.

Match Analysis

Jacob Fearnley currently holds a rank of 51 and has a form index of 41.57, showing a moderate recent performance. His Elo rating stands at 996.22, indicating a solid skill level. Fearnley has a surface strength index of 6.33, which suggests some competence on grass, and he boasts a mean serve index of 96.06, outpacing Fonseca by more than 5 points. However, his mean return index of 88.99 is slightly above Fonseca’s 86.60, but the difference is not significant. Notably, Fearnley has faced challenges in his recent matches, losing two out of his last three, including a straight-set defeat to Marcos Giron. Conversely, Joao Fonseca, ranked 54, has a slightly better form index of 42.61 and a higher Elo rating of 1196.41. His surface strength index of 4.53 indicates he is less adept on grass compared to Fearnley. Fonseca’s mean serve index of 94.69 is lower than Fearnley's, yet his recent performances include a win against Zizou Bergs, which might boost his confidence despite a loss to Taylor Fritz in his last outing. This combination of factors presents Fonseca as a resilient competitor.

Final Prediction

Joao Fonseca's higher Elo rating and better recent form provide him with an edge in this matchup, despite a slightly lower serve index. A critical factor to observe will be how both players handle their service games, particularly Fearnley’s ability to capitalize on his strong serve against Fonseca’s return capabilities.