Cincinnati OH, U.S.A. Hard Masters 1000 Round of 128

Jordan Thompson vs Adrian Mannarino Prediction

Jordan Thompson

Rank: #44
62%
VS

Adrian Mannarino

Rank: #94
38%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Jordan Thompson

Player Metrics

Jordan Thompson

Form Index: 69.7
ELO Rating: 1450.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1598.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 15.2
Clay: 11.7
Grass: 13.4
Serve Rating: 97.5
Return Rating: 86.4

Adrian Mannarino

Form Index: 59.3
ELO Rating: 677.7
Glicko2 Rating: 1644.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 152.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 6.8
Clay: 4.9
Grass: 6.5
Serve Rating: 95.3
Return Rating: 87.7

Recent Matches

Jordan Thompson

  • Last Match: vs Taylor Fritz (0-2) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Luciano Darderi (3-1) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Benjamin Bonzi (3-2) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Vit Kopriva (3-2) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Jaume Munar (0-1) grass London 47 min

Adrian Mannarino

  • Last Match: vs Dalibor Svrcina (2-0) hard Cincinnati 90 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Mitchell Krueger (2-0) hard Cincinnati 62 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Ben Shelton (0-2) hard Toronto 65 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Marcos Giron (2-0) hard Toronto 88 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Juan Carlos Aguilar (2-0) hard Toronto 85 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

1
Jordan Thompson
vs
0
Adrian Mannarino
Hard
1 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The match between Jordan Thompson and Adrian Mannarino will take place at the Cincinnati Masters 1000 tournament on hard courts in Ohio, USA, during the Round of 128. Jordan Thompson is predicted to emerge victorious with a probability of 62.41%, while Adrian Mannarino holds a 37.59% chance of winning. The anticipated total number of games played in this match is approximately 23.0.

Match Analysis

Jordan Thompson, currently ranked 44, boasts a solid form index of 69.70 and an Elo rating of 1449.96. He has shown resilience on hard surfaces with a surface strength index of 15.16 and exhibits impressive serving capabilities with a mean serve index of 97.52. Notably, Thompson's mean return index of 86.40 suggests a strong ability to counter his opponent’s serves. He arrives at this match with zero cumulative fatigue from the current tournament, indicating he is well-rested. On the other hand, Adrian Mannarino, ranked 94, has a lower form index of 59.31 and a significantly lower Elo rating of 677.74. His surface strength index is only 6.82, indicating less proficiency on hard courts compared to Thompson. Mannarino’s mean serve index is 95.28, which is slightly lower than Thompson’s, but his mean return index of 87.70 provides him a slight edge in returning serves. However, his cumulative fatigue of 152 minutes from ongoing matches could impact his performance against Thompson. In his last three matches, Mannarino has won two on hard courts, whereas Thompson experienced a recent defeat on grass, indicating mixed results for both players.

Final Prediction

Jordan Thompson's combination of higher rank, superior form index, and lack of fatigue gives him a distinct advantage over Adrian Mannarino in this matchup. Additionally, Thompson's ability to serve efficiently and return effectively will be crucial factors to monitor as the match unfolds.