Us Open NY, U.S.A. Hard Grand Slam Round of 64

Jordan Thompson vs Adrian Mannarino Prediction

Jordan Thompson

Rank: #57
55%
VS

Adrian Mannarino

Rank: #73
45%
Predicted Games Played: 36.0
Predicted Winner: Jordan Thompson

Player Metrics

Jordan Thompson

Form Index: 65.0
ELO Rating: 1401.2
Glicko2 Rating: 1599.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 174.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 14.5
Clay: 11.7
Grass: 13.4
Serve Rating: 97.5
Return Rating: 86.5

Adrian Mannarino

Form Index: 70.7
ELO Rating: 951.2
Glicko2 Rating: 1683.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 174.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 9.9
Clay: 4.9
Grass: 6.5
Serve Rating: 95.2
Return Rating: 87.5

Recent Matches

Jordan Thompson

  • Last Match: vs Corentin Moutet (3-1) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Adrian Mannarino (0-2) hard Cincinnati 88 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Taylor Fritz (0-2) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Luciano Darderi (3-1) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Benjamin Bonzi (3-2) grass Wimbledon 174 min

Adrian Mannarino

  • Last Match: vs Tallon Griekspoor (3-0) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Jannik Sinner (0-2) hard Cincinnati 108 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Tommy Paul (2-1) hard Cincinnati 159 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Tomas Machac (2-0) hard Cincinnati 90 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Jordan Thompson (2-0) hard Cincinnati 88 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

1
Jordan Thompson
vs
1
Adrian Mannarino
Hard
1 - 1
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 64 at the 2025 US Open, Jordan Thompson is set to face Adrian Mannarino on hard courts in New York. The prediction favors Thompson with a 54.70% likelihood of victory compared to Mannarino's 45.30%. The match is expected to be competitive, with a predicted total of 36 games played.

Match Analysis

Jordan Thompson currently ranks 57 and holds a form index of 65.00, reflecting a solid, yet inconsistent performance recently. His Elo rating stands at 1401.22, indicating a moderate level of competitive success. Fatigue levels for both players are equal at 174 minutes, which could impact their stamina during the match. The surface strength index favors Thompson slightly at 14.48 compared to Mannarino's 9.89. Interestingly, Thompson's mean serve index of 97.49 gives him a notable advantage over Mannarino's 95.16, highlighting a difference in serving capability that could prove crucial. On the return side, Mannarino's mean return index of 87.48 is slightly higher than Thompson's 86.50, indicating that Mannarino may have an edge in returning serves. In terms of recent performances, Thompson's last outing saw him secure a win against Corentin Moutet, although he faced defeat against Mannarino just two matches prior in Cincinnati. Conversely, Mannarino enters this match with a strong victory over Tallon Griekspoor, following a mixed bag of results, including a loss to Jannik Sinner. Both players have shown flashes of brilliance, but Thompson's recent win may bolster his confidence heading into this encounter.

Final Prediction

Thompson's slight edge in serving ability and his recent victory provide him with a crucial advantage heading into this matchup. The key factor to monitor will be how effectively Thompson can leverage his serve against Mannarino's return game, as this could dictate the pace and outcome of the match.