Wimbledon Great Britain Grass Grand Slam Round of 32

Luciano Darderi vs Jordan Thompson Prediction

Luciano Darderi

Rank: #59
44%
VS

Jordan Thompson

Rank: #44
56%
Predicted Games Played: 38.0
Predicted Winner: Jordan Thompson

Player Metrics

Luciano Darderi

Form Index: 59.8
ELO Rating: 1176.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1577.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 348.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 7.7
Clay: 10.4
Grass: 9.7
Serve Rating: 97.1
Return Rating: 86.6

Jordan Thompson

Form Index: 63.3
ELO Rating: 1438.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1596.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 348.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 15.2
Clay: 11.8
Grass: 13.6
Serve Rating: 96.3
Return Rating: 87.0

Recent Matches

Luciano Darderi

  • Last Match: vs Arthur Fery (3-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Roman Safiullin (3-2) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Marcos Giron (0-2) grass Eastbourne 82 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Nicolas Jarry (1-2) grass S Hertogenbosch 150 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Sebastian Korda (1-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min

Jordan Thompson

  • Last Match: vs Benjamin Bonzi (3-2) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Vit Kopriva (3-2) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Jaume Munar (0-1) grass London 47 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Gabriel Diallo (1-2) grass S Hertogenbosch 128 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Aleksandar Kovacevic (2-0) grass S Hertogenbosch 80 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Luciano Darderi
vs
0
Jordan Thompson
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 32 at Wimbledon 2025, Luciano Darderi faces Jordan Thompson on the grass courts of Great Britain. The predicted winner is Jordan Thompson, with a probability of winning set at 56.19% compared to Darderi's 43.81%. The match is expected to feature a total of approximately 38 games.

Match Analysis

Jordan Thompson holds a higher ranking at 44 compared to Luciano Darderi's rank of 59, reflecting his stronger standing in the competitive landscape. In terms of form, Thompson has a form index of 63.30, which is slightly better than Darderi's 59.81. Additionally, Thompson's Elo rating of 1438.37 significantly surpasses Darderi's 1176.35, indicating a more consistent performance level over time. Both players have a cumulative fatigue of 348 minutes, suggesting they are equally challenged in this regard. The surface strength index further favors Thompson, who has a rating of 13.57 against Darderi's 9.67. Notably, the difference in their mean serve index is minimal (Thompson: 96.27, Darderi: 97.10), while Darderi's mean return index (86.58) is slightly lower than Thompson's (87.04), showing that Darderi may struggle more when returning serves. Examining their recent performances, both players have displayed resilience in their last three matches. Darderi won his last two matches at Wimbledon, defeating Arthur Fery and Roman Safiullin, showcasing his ability to compete effectively on grass. However, he also suffered a loss against Marcos Giron prior to these victories. Conversely, Thompson's recent form is also commendable, with wins against Benjamin Bonzi and Vit Kopriva, although he faced a setback against Jaume Munar. Both players have demonstrated their capabilities, but Thompson's recent successes against tougher opponents provide him with a psychological edge.

Final Prediction

Jordan Thompson's higher rank, superior Elo rating, and consistent recent performance give him a distinct advantage in this matchup. Observers should pay close attention to how each player handles their service games, particularly Thompson's ability to maintain pressure on Darderi's return, which could be pivotal in determining the match's outcome.