Stuttgart Germany Grass Atp 250 Round of 32

Justin Engel vs James Duckworth Prediction

Justin Engel

Rank: #281
44%
VS

James Duckworth

Rank: #94
56%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: James Duckworth

Player Metrics

Justin Engel

Form Index: 33.7
ELO Rating: 215.8
Glicko2 Rating: 1556.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 1.3
Clay: 2.0
Grass: 1.0
Serve Rating: 98.5
Return Rating: 88.8

James Duckworth

Form Index: 39.4
ELO Rating: 491.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1542.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 229.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 4.6
Clay: 4.2
Grass: 6.2
Serve Rating: 96.4
Return Rating: 83.5

Recent Matches

Justin Engel

  • Last Match: vs Andrey Rublev (0-2) clay Hamburg 102 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Jan-Lennard Struff (2-0) clay Hamburg 100 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Fabian Marozsan (0-2) clay Munich 68 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Francisco Cerundolo (0-2) hard Almaty 90 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Coleman Wong (2-0) hard Almaty 94 min

James Duckworth

  • Last Match: vs Nikoloz Basilashvili (2-1) grass Stuttgart 129 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Benjamin Hassan (2-0) grass Stuttgart 100 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Alexander Bublik (0-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Remy Bertola (0-2) clay Geneva 93 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Colton Smith (0-2) clay Houston 69 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Justin Engel
vs
0
James Duckworth
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The match between Justin Engel and James Duckworth is set in the Round of 32 at the Stuttgart tournament, held on grass. With a predicted total of 23 games, James Duckworth is favored to win with a probability of 56.45%, while Justin Engel's chances stand at 43.55%.

Match Analysis

Justin Engel currently holds a rank of 281 and has a form index of 33.7, indicating a challenging season thus far. His Elo rating of approximately 215.83 and a surface strength index of 1.02 suggest he may struggle on grass. Engel's mean serve index is 98.51, and his return index is 88.80, showing a decent serving ability but a relatively weaker return game. His recent performances include a loss to Andrey Rublev on clay, but he did manage to secure a victory against Jan-Lennard Struff, which could provide him with some confidence. In contrast, James Duckworth is ranked 94 with a higher form index of 39.45 and a significantly better Elo rating of around 490.95. Duckworth's fatigue level is notably higher at 229 minutes, but he has demonstrated resilience, winning his last two matches in Stuttgart against Nikoloz Basilashvili and Benjamin Hassan. His surface strength index of 6.18 is indicative of a solid performance on grass, and his mean serve index of 96.40 combined with a return index of 83.49 shows he maintains a competitive edge in serving while also being capable on returns. The difference in their mean return indexes signals Duckworth's potential advantage in this aspect of the game.

Final Prediction

James Duckworth's higher ranking, stronger form, and superior surface performance provide him a distinct edge in this matchup. A critical factor to watch will be Duckworth's ability to manage his fatigue, as he enters the match with a cumulative fatigue of 229 minutes, which could impact his performance against Engel.