Toronto Canada Hard Masters 1000 Finals

Karen Khachanov vs Ben Shelton Prediction

Karen Khachanov

Rank: #16
46%
VS

Ben Shelton

Rank: #8
54%
Predicted Games Played: 25.0
Predicted Winner: Ben Shelton

Player Metrics

Karen Khachanov

Form Index: 67.5
ELO Rating: 2053.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1769.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 586.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 16.4
Clay: 18.8
Grass: 16.6
Serve Rating: 96.7
Return Rating: 85.4

Ben Shelton

Form Index: 65.0
ELO Rating: 1884.6
Glicko2 Rating: 1745.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 534.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 15.3
Clay: 15.6
Grass: 15.9
Serve Rating: 96.5
Return Rating: 84.1

Recent Matches

Karen Khachanov

  • Last Match: vs Alexander Zverev (2-1) hard Toronto 172 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Alex Michelsen (2-0) hard Toronto 104 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Casper Ruud (2-0) hard Toronto 93 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Emilio Nava (2-1) hard Toronto 130 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Juan Pablo Ficovich (2-0) hard Toronto 87 min

Ben Shelton

  • Last Match: vs Taylor Fritz (2-0) hard Toronto 78 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Alex de Minaur (2-0) hard Toronto 91 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Flavio Cobolli (2-1) hard Toronto 144 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Brandon Nakashima (2-1) hard Toronto 156 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Adrian Mannarino (2-0) hard Toronto 65 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Karen Khachanov
vs
1
Ben Shelton
Hard
0 - 1
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the highly anticipated finals of the Toronto Masters 1000, Karen Khachanov and Ben Shelton will face off on hard courts in Canada. The match promises to be competitive, with Shelton slightly favored to win at a probability of 53.50%, compared to Khachanov’s 46.50%. The predicted total number of games played is set at 25.0.

Match Analysis

Both players are in the upper echelon of rankings, with Khachanov ranked 16 and Shelton at 8. Khachanov’s form index stands at 67.49, reflecting solid recent performances, while Shelton’s index is slightly lower at 64.98. However, Khachanov possesses a higher Elo rating of 2053.27 compared to Shelton’s 1884.59, indicating his overall skill level has been recognized over a broader time frame. Fatigue may play a role as Khachanov has spent 586 minutes on the court this tournament, compared to Shelton’s 534 minutes. In terms of surface strength, Khachanov holds a slight advantage with an index of 16.44 against Shelton's 15.35. Looking at their recent matches, Khachanov has shown resilience, winning all three of his past matches, including a hard-fought victory against Alexander Zverev. His ability to win against higher-ranked opponents is noteworthy. In contrast, Shelton has also been impressive, winning three straight matches without dropping a set, including a decisive win over Taylor Fritz in the semifinals. Notably, Khachanov’s mean serve index of 96.73 is marginally higher than Shelton’s 96.48, but the difference in return indices is more pronounced with Khachanov at 85.37 and Shelton at 84.15, which could impact their ability to win points on the return.

Final Prediction

Ben Shelton's slight edge in the prediction comes from his recent momentum and the ability to close matches without dropping sets. A key factor to monitor will be how both players handle their respective fatigue levels, as the match progresses, especially given Khachanov's longer time on the court during the tournament.