Toronto Canada Hard Masters 1000 Round of 16

Karen Khachanov vs Casper Ruud Prediction

Karen Khachanov

Rank: #16
46%
VS

Casper Ruud

Rank: #12
54%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Casper Ruud

Player Metrics

Karen Khachanov

Form Index: 73.3
ELO Rating: 1821.8
Glicko2 Rating: 1755.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 217.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 14.6
Clay: 18.8
Grass: 16.6
Serve Rating: 96.7
Return Rating: 85.4

Casper Ruud

Form Index: 55.7
ELO Rating: 3439.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1797.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 183.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 21.5
Clay: 30.6
Grass: 35.0
Serve Rating: 95.5
Return Rating: 85.7

Recent Matches

Karen Khachanov

  • Last Match: vs Emilio Nava (2-1) hard Toronto 130 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Juan Pablo Ficovich (2-0) hard Toronto 87 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Taylor Fritz (1-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Kamil Majchrzak (3-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Nuno Borges (3-2) grass Wimbledon 174 min

Casper Ruud

  • Last Match: vs Nuno Borges (2-0) hard Toronto 102 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Roman Safiullin (2-0) hard Toronto 81 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo (1-2) clay Gstaad 129 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Dominic Stricker (2-0) clay Gstaad 104 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Nuno Borges (1-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Karen Khachanov
vs
0
Casper Ruud
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Karen Khachanov and Casper Ruud takes place in the Round of 16 at the Toronto Masters 1000 tournament on hard courts. Both players are vying for a place in the quarterfinals, with Ruud slightly favored to win, holding a 54% probability of victory compared to Khachanov's 46%. The predicted total number of games played in this match is 23.

Match Analysis

Karen Khachanov is currently ranked 16th, with a form index of 73.33 and an Elo rating of 1821.84. His cumulative fatigue is relatively high at 217 minutes from the current tournament, and he has a surface strength index of 14.65. Khachanov's mean serve index stands at 96.67, while his mean return index is 85.37. In contrast, Casper Ruud is ranked 12th, with a lower form index of 55.69 but a significantly higher Elo rating of 3438.98. Ruud's fatigue level is lower at 183 minutes, and he boasts a better surface strength index of 21.53. His mean serve index is slightly lower at 95.48, but his return index is marginally better at 85.72. The difference in their serve indices is minimal, but Ruud's return index outperforms Khachanov's by over 5 points, providing him an edge in this area. In their recent performances, Khachanov has won two of his last three matches, including a hard-fought victory against Emilio Nava in the current tournament, while his loss against Taylor Fritz at Wimbledon remains a notable blemish. Ruud, on the other hand, has also shown solid form, winning all of his last three matches in Toronto, including a straight-set victory against Nuno Borges. This recent success may boost his confidence heading into the match against Khachanov.

Final Prediction

Casper Ruud's overall superior Elo rating and recent match performance provide him with a strategic advantage going into this matchup. Additionally, the key factor to watch will be Ruud's effectiveness in returning Khachanov's serve, as his better return index suggests he could capitalize on any weaknesses in Khachanov's game.