Wimbledon
Great Britain
Grass
Grand Slam
Round of 64
Shintaro Mochizuki vs Karen Khachanov Prediction
Shintaro Mochizuki
Rank: #144
16%
VS
Karen Khachanov
Rank: #20
84%
Predicted Games Played:
36.0
Predicted Winner:
Karen Khachanov
Ranking Trends
Shintaro Mochizuki
- Current Rank: #144 (2025-06-30)
- 3 Months Ago: #149 (2025-03-31)
- 6 Months Ago: #235 (2024-12-30)
- 9 Months Ago: #145 (2024-09-30)
- 12 Months Ago: #141 (2024-07-01)
Karen Khachanov
- Current Rank: #20 (2025-06-30)
- 3 Months Ago: #26 (2025-03-31)
- 6 Months Ago: #19 (2024-12-30)
- 9 Months Ago: #25 (2024-09-30)
- 12 Months Ago: #22 (2024-07-01)
Player Metrics
Shintaro Mochizuki
Form Index:
78.7
ELO Rating:
454.5
Glicko2 Rating:
1558.3
Current Fatigue (minutes):
696.0
Surface Strength:
Hard:
3.3
Clay:
4.2
Grass:
3.9
Serve Rating:
95.0
Return Rating:
90.2
Karen Khachanov
Form Index:
72.3
ELO Rating:
1816.4
Glicko2 Rating:
1746.5
Current Fatigue (minutes):
174.0
Surface Strength:
Hard:
14.6
Clay:
18.8
Grass:
16.8
Serve Rating:
95.4
Return Rating:
85.0
Recent Matches
Shintaro Mochizuki
- Last Match: vs Giulio Zeppieri (3-2) grass Wimbledon 174 min
- 2nd Last Match: vs Dominic Stricker (3-1) grass Wimbledon 174 min
- 3rd Last Match: vs Felipe Meligeni Alves (2-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min
- 4th Last Match: vs Pierre-Hugues Herbert (2-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min
- 5th Last Match: vs Alexander Shevchenko (1-2) clay Roland Garros 174 min
Karen Khachanov
- Last Match: vs Mackenzie McDonald (3-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min
- 2nd Last Match: vs Alexander Bublik (1-2) grass Halle 122 min
- 3rd Last Match: vs Tomas Martin Etcheverry (2-0) grass Halle 72 min
- 4th Last Match: vs Felix Auger-Aliassime (2-1) grass Halle 100 min
- 5th Last Match: vs Zizou Bergs (2-0) grass Halle 94 min
Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)
0
Shintaro Mochizuki
vs
0
Karen Khachanov
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0
Key Prediction Insights
In the Round of 64 at Wimbledon, Shintaro Mochizuki faces Karen Khachanov on the grass courts of Great Britain. The match is expected to be challenging for Mochizuki, with Khachanov favored to win at a probability of 83.63%. Mochizuki's chances sit at 16.37%, with a predicted total of 36 games played.
Match Analysis
Shintaro Mochizuki currently ranks 144th, with a form index of 78.73 and an Elo rating of 454.54. His cumulative fatigue of 696 minutes indicates he has had a strenuous tournament thus far. On grass, his surface strength index stands at 3.89, reflecting challenges on this fast surface. In contrast, Karen Khachanov, ranked 20th, boasts a form index of 72.31 and a significantly higher Elo rating of 1816.38. His fatigue level is much lower at 174 minutes, and he possesses a strong surface strength index of 16.80. Notably, Khachanov's mean serve index of 95.37 surpasses Mochizuki's by 0.38 points, while his return index of 85.04 is also stronger by over 5 points.
In their last three matches, Mochizuki has demonstrated resilience, winning all but one set across his victories, including a recent five-set thriller against Giulio Zeppieri. However, Khachanov has shown dominance in his last match against Mackenzie McDonald, winning in straight sets, although he faced a challenging defeat against Alexander Bublik in Halle.
Final Prediction
Karen Khachanov has a distinct edge due to his higher ranking, superior Elo rating, and significantly lower fatigue level. His strong serving and returning capabilities will likely play a key role in the match. Observers should watch for Khachanov's ability to capitalize on Mochizuki's fatigue and pressure him with powerful serves.