Metz France Hard Atp 250 Quarterfinals

Kyrian Jacquet vs Cameron Norrie Prediction

Kyrian Jacquet

Rank: #155
33%
VS

Cameron Norrie

Rank: #31
67%
Predicted Games Played: 24.0
Predicted Winner: Cameron Norrie

Player Metrics

Kyrian Jacquet

Form Index: 41.5
ELO Rating: 324.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1531.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 404.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 2.7
Clay: 2.7
Grass: 2.1
Serve Rating: 94.8
Return Rating: 85.4

Cameron Norrie

Form Index: 54.8
ELO Rating: 1413.2
Glicko2 Rating: 1717.6
Current Fatigue (minutes): 292.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 11.1
Clay: 11.3
Grass: 11.3
Serve Rating: 95.4
Return Rating: 87.6

Recent Matches

Kyrian Jacquet

  • Last Match: vs Dan Added (1-0) hard Metz 54 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Luca Van Assche (2-1) hard Metz 147 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Jan Choinski (1-2) hard Metz 102 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Andrea Pellegrino (2-1) hard Metz 101 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Aleksandar Kovacevic (1-2) hard Paris 136 min

Cameron Norrie

  • Last Match: vs Arthur Cazaux (2-1) hard Metz 166 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Valentin Royer (2-1) hard Metz 126 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Valentin Vacherot (0-2) hard Paris 96 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Carlos Alcaraz (2-1) hard Paris 142 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Sebastian Baez (2-0) hard Paris 84 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Kyrian Jacquet
vs
0
Cameron Norrie
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the quarterfinals of the ATP 250 event in Metz, France, Kyrian Jacquet faces Cameron Norrie on hard courts. Norrie is favored to win, with a probability of 67.48%, while Jacquet's chances stand at 32.52%. The predicted total number of games played in this match is estimated at 24.0.

Match Analysis

Cameron Norrie, ranked 31st in the world, is significantly higher than Kyrian Jacquet, who sits at 155th. Norrie's form index of 54.78 reflects his competitive edge, and his Elo rating of 1413.25 further emphasizes his experience and skill level. He has a fatigue index of 292.0 minutes, which is lower than Jacquet's 404.0 minutes, suggesting that Norrie may have more energy reserves heading into this match. Notably, Norrie's surface strength index of 11.06 is significantly stronger compared to Jacquet's 2.67, indicating that Norrie is particularly adept on hard courts. The mean serve index difference is marginal, with Norrie at 95.41 and Jacquet at 94.83, but Norrie's mean return index of 87.61 surpasses Jacquet's 85.43, which could be pivotal in dictating points. In their recent performances, Norrie has shown resilience, winning his last two matches in Metz against Arthur Cazaux and Valentin Royer, demonstrating both consistency and competitive spirit. Conversely, Jacquet's last three matches show a mixed bag; while he won his most recent encounter against Dan Added, he suffered a defeat against Jan Choinski in a tense match. This inconsistency could hinder Jacquet's confidence against a steady competitor like Norrie.

Final Prediction

Cameron Norrie's higher ranking, better form, and superior surface performance provide him with a distinct advantage heading into this match. A critical factor to watch will be how effectively Norrie can leverage his return game against Jacquet's serve, as this could significantly influence the match's outcome.