Us Open NY, U.S.A. Hard Grand Slam Round of 64

Lloyd Harris vs Taylor Fritz Prediction

Lloyd Harris

Rank: #353
25%
VS

Taylor Fritz

Rank: #4
75%
Predicted Games Played: 38.0
Predicted Winner: Taylor Fritz

Player Metrics

Lloyd Harris

Form Index: 87.2
ELO Rating: 714.6
Glicko2 Rating: 1563.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 696.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 5.8
Clay: 4.4
Grass: 5.7
Serve Rating: 96.1
Return Rating: 86.7

Taylor Fritz

Form Index: 67.0
ELO Rating: 3959.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1814.1
Current Fatigue (minutes): 174.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 31.2
Clay: 37.4
Grass: 44.8
Serve Rating: 97.0
Return Rating: 85.8

Recent Matches

Lloyd Harris

  • Last Match: vs Sebastian Baez (3-0) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Daniel Merida (2-0) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Fajing Sun (2-0) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Daniel Evans (2-1) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Leandro Riedi (0-2) hard Cincinnati 96 min

Taylor Fritz

  • Last Match: vs Emilio Nava (3-0) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Terence Atmane (1-2) hard Cincinnati 119 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Lorenzo Sonego (2-0) hard Cincinnati 127 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Emilio Nava (2-0) hard Cincinnati 68 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Ben Shelton (0-2) hard Toronto 78 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Lloyd Harris
vs
0
Taylor Fritz
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming matchup between Lloyd Harris and Taylor Fritz at the 2025 US Open is set to be an intriguing contest as they battle in the Round of 64 on hard courts in New York. Taylor Fritz is favored to win with a probability of 74.74%, compared to Harris's 25.26%, and the predicted total number of games played is estimated to be 38.0.

Match Analysis

Lloyd Harris currently ranks 353rd, with a form index of 87.21 and an Elo rating of 714.65. His cumulative fatigue stands at 696 minutes, indicating a heavier workload in the tournament thus far. Harris's surface strength index is relatively low at 5.78, but he boasts a solid mean serve index of 96.07 and a mean return index of 86.71. In contrast, Taylor Fritz is positioned much higher at rank 4, with a form index of 67.00 and an impressive Elo rating of 3959.37. Fritz has a significantly lower fatigue level of 174 minutes and a much stronger surface strength index of 31.16, further supporting his advantage. Notably, Fritz's mean serve index is slightly superior at 97.00, but the difference in their mean return indices (Fritz at 85.79 vs. Harris at 86.71) is negligible. Examining their recent performances, Harris has shown resilience by winning all three of his previous matches in straight sets, including a commanding victory over Sebastian Baez in his last encounter. This demonstrates his current form and confidence. Conversely, Fritz also secured a straight-set win against Emilio Nava but faced a setback in his second match at the Cincinnati tournament, where he lost. Despite this, Fritz has been consistent on hard courts, particularly in this tournament, suggesting he has the momentum heading into this match.

Final Prediction

The significant disparity in rankings, along with Fritz's superior surface strength and lower fatigue levels, gives him a clear edge in this matchup. A key factor to watch will be Harris's ability to maintain his impressive serving performance, which could challenge Fritz if executed well. However, Fritz's experience and overall higher ranking make him the likely victor in this encounter.