Roland Garros France Clay Grand Slam Round of 64

Lorenzo Musetti vs Daniel Elahi Galan Prediction

Lorenzo Musetti

Rank: #9
78%
VS

Daniel Elahi Galan

Rank: #124
22%
Expected Total Games: 35.0
Predicted Winner: Lorenzo Musetti

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Ranking Trends

Lorenzo Musetti

  • Current #9 2025-05-05
  • 3 mo ago #17 2025-02-24
  • 6 mo ago #17 2024-11-25
  • 9 mo ago #18 2024-08-26
  • 12 mo ago #30 2024-05-27

Daniel Elahi Galan

  • Current #124 2025-05-05
  • 3 mo ago #125 2025-02-24
  • 6 mo ago #126 2024-11-25
  • 9 mo ago #127 2024-08-26
  • 12 mo ago #106 2024-05-27

Player Metrics

Lorenzo Musetti

Form Index: 70.5
ELO Rating: 2813.7
Glicko2 Rating: 1722.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 174.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 14.1
Clay: 23.9
Grass: 23.1
Serve Rating: 97.2
Return Rating: 88.3

Daniel Elahi Galan

Form Index: 67.9
ELO Rating: 482.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1565.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 696.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 3.6
Clay: 4.9
Grass: 4.4
Serve Rating: 95.1
Return Rating: 88.0

Recent Matches

Lorenzo Musetti
✅ ❌ ✅ ✅ ✅

Daniel Elahi Galan
✅ ❌ ✅ ✅ ❌

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

1
Lorenzo Musetti
vs
0
Daniel Elahi Galan
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
1 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 64 at the 2025 Roland Garros, Lorenzo Musetti faces Daniel Elahi Galan on the clay courts of France. Musetti, currently ranked 9th, is favored to win with a probability of 77.85%, while Galan's chances stand at 22.15%. The predicted total number of games for this encounter is 35.

Match Analysis

Lorenzo Musetti enters the match with a significant edge, holding a rank of 9 and an Elo rating of 2813.68. His form index of 70.53 indicates strong performance metrics, especially on clay where he has a surface strength index of 23.88. Musetti has shown resilience in recent matches, with a notable victory against Yannick Hanfmann in his last outing. His mean serve index of 97.22 and mean return index of 88.33 suggest a well-rounded game, capable of applying pressure on his opponent. In contrast, Daniel Elahi Galan, ranked 124th with an Elo rating of 482.40, faces a steep challenge. His form index of 67.86 reflects a less consistent performance, coupled with a surface strength index of only 4.89. Although he managed to win his last match against Valentin Royer, he previously struggled against Juan Manuel Cerundolo. Galan's serve index of 95.13 and return index of 87.99 are competitive, but Musetti's superior serve and return indices (with a difference greater than 5 points in both categories) put him in a favorable position.

Final Prediction

Musetti's higher ranking, form, and superior indices in both serving and returning give him a decisive advantage in this matchup. One key factor to monitor will be Musetti's ability to maintain his energy levels given his current fatigue of 174 minutes, compared to Galan's 696 minutes, which may impact Galan's performance as the match progresses.

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