Wimbledon Great Britain Grass Grand Slam Round of 64

Lorenzo Sonego vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Prediction

Lorenzo Sonego

Rank: #47
71%
VS

Nikoloz Basilashvili

Rank: #126
29%
Predicted Games Played: 37.0
Predicted Winner: Lorenzo Sonego

Ranking Trends

Lorenzo Sonego

  • Current Rank: #47 (2025-06-30)
  • 3 Months Ago: #38 (2025-03-31)
  • 6 Months Ago: #53 (2024-12-30)
  • 9 Months Ago: #49 (2024-09-30)
  • 12 Months Ago: #54 (2024-07-01)

Nikoloz Basilashvili

  • Current Rank: #126 (2025-06-30)
  • 3 Months Ago: #159 (2025-03-31)
  • 6 Months Ago: #208 (2024-12-30)
  • 9 Months Ago: #328 (2024-09-30)
  • 12 Months Ago: #446 (2024-07-01)

Player Metrics

Lorenzo Sonego

Form Index: 53.2
ELO Rating: 1017.6
Glicko2 Rating: 1591.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 174.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 10.0
Clay: 8.8
Grass: 9.1
Serve Rating: 97.7
Return Rating: 84.8

Nikoloz Basilashvili

Form Index: 79.3
ELO Rating: 645.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1551.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 522.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 4.5
Clay: 3.2
Grass: 4.3
Serve Rating: 93.7
Return Rating: 86.9

Recent Matches

Lorenzo Sonego
✅ ❌ ✅ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Jaime Faria (3-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Ugo Humbert (0-2) grass Eastbourne 100 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Fabian Marozsan (2-0) grass Eastbourne 78 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Alexander Zverev (1-2) grass Halle 143 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Jan-Lennard Struff (2-0) grass Halle 60 min

Nikoloz Basilashvili
✅ ✅ ✅ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Lorenzo Musetti (3-1) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Juan Pablo Ficovich (3-1) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Coleman Wong (2-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Laslo Djere (0-2) grass Halle 73 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs James Duckworth (1-2) grass Stuttgart 129 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Lorenzo Sonego
vs
0
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The match between Lorenzo Sonego and Nikoloz Basilashvili in the Round of 64 at Wimbledon promises to be an intriguing clash on grass. Given the current form and statistics, Lorenzo Sonego is favored to win with a probability of 71.11%, while Nikoloz Basilashvili has a win probability of 28.89%. The predicted total number of games played is approximately 37.

Match Analysis

Lorenzo Sonego, ranked 47, exhibits a solid form index of 53.21 and an Elo rating of 1017.65. His cumulative fatigue from the tournament stands at 174 minutes, indicating a relatively fresher state compared to his opponent. Sonego's surface strength index of 9.11 reflects his adaptability on grass, along with a mean serve index of 97.71, which is significantly higher than Basilashvili's 93.75, indicating a more effective serve. In terms of return capabilities, Sonego also leads with a mean return index of 84.76, compared to Basilashvili's 86.93, though the difference is less than 5 points. Nikoloz Basilashvili, currently ranked 126, has a higher form index of 79.30 but an Elo rating of 644.97, which suggests he has been struggling at a higher level of competition. His cumulative fatigue is concerning at 522 minutes, which may hinder his performance. Over their last three matches, Sonego won two and lost one, while Basilashvili won all three matches but faced a challenging opponent in Lorenzo Musetti in his last outing. This slight disparity in recent performance may play a crucial role in their upcoming encounter.

Final Prediction

Lorenzo Sonego has the edge due to his superior serving capabilities and overall better ranking and recent performances. A key factor to watch will be Sonego's ability to maintain his energy levels given his lower fatigue compared to Basilashvili, which could influence the match's outcome significantly.