Winston Salem NC, U.S.A. Hard Atp 250 Round of 32

Lorenzo Sonego vs Stefan Dostanic Prediction

Lorenzo Sonego

Rank: #36
84%
VS

Stefan Dostanic

Rank: #419
16%
Predicted Games Played: 21.0
Predicted Winner: Lorenzo Sonego

Player Metrics

Lorenzo Sonego

Form Index: 42.9
ELO Rating: 1070.9
Glicko2 Rating: 1596.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 10.0
Clay: 8.8
Grass: 9.6
Serve Rating: 97.5
Return Rating: 84.6

Stefan Dostanic

Form Index: 22.9
ELO Rating: 75.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1506.1
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 0.7
Clay: 0.7
Grass: 0.8
Serve Rating: 91.8
Return Rating: 73.1

Recent Matches

Lorenzo Sonego

  • Last Match: vs Taylor Fritz (0-2) hard Cincinnati 127 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Zizou Bergs (2-0) hard Cincinnati 101 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Andrey Rublev (1-2) hard Toronto 152 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Yunchaokete Bu (2-0) hard Toronto 79 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Matteo Arnaldi (0-2) hard Washington 126 min

Stefan Dostanic

  • Last Match: vs Sumit Nagal (0-2) hard Indian Wells 71 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs None (0-0) None None 0 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs None (0-0) None None 0 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs None (0-0) None None 0 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs None (0-0) None None 0 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Lorenzo Sonego
vs
0
Stefan Dostanic
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 32 at the Winston-Salem tournament in North Carolina, Lorenzo Sonego is set to face Stefan Dostanic on hard courts. With a significant edge in form and experience, Sonego is predicted to win with an 84.18% probability, while Dostanic has a 15.82% chance of success. The match is expected to feature approximately 21 games.

Match Analysis

Lorenzo Sonego, currently ranked 36, boasts a solid form index of 42.87 and an Elo rating of 1070.94, indicating a competitive level of play. His surface strength index of 10.04 demonstrates a strong adaptability to hard courts, while his mean serve index of 97.50 and return index of 84.55 highlight his proficiency both in serving and returning. In contrast, Stefan Dostanic is ranked 419 with a much lower form index of 22.89 and an Elo rating of 75. His surface strength index is just 0.68, considerably less than Sonego’s, and his mean serve index of 91.77 and return index of 73.08 show a significant gap in serving and returning skills, particularly as the difference in their serve index exceeds 5 points. In their recent performances, Sonego experienced mixed results, winning one match against Zizou Bergs but losing to both Taylor Fritz and Andrey Rublev in his last three encounters. Meanwhile, Dostanic has struggled, losing his last match against Sumit Nagal without winning a set and has not played any additional matches recently, which may hinder his rhythm and confidence entering this match.

Final Prediction

Sonego's higher rank, superior form, and significantly better performance metrics give him a clear advantage heading into this matchup. The key factor to monitor will be Sonego's ability to leverage his strong serve against Dostanic's less effective return game, which could dictate the flow of the match.