Cincinnati OH, U.S.A. Hard Masters 1000 Round of 128

Luca Nardi vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Prediction

Luca Nardi

Rank: #97
45%
VS

Thiago Agustin Tirante

Rank: #130
55%
Expected Total Games: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Thiago Agustin Tirante

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Ranking Trends

Luca Nardi

  • Current #97 2025-07-28
  • 3 mo ago #95 2025-05-05
  • 6 mo ago #77 2025-02-03
  • 9 mo ago #102 2024-11-04
  • 12 mo ago #91 2024-08-12

Thiago Agustin Tirante

  • Current #130 2025-07-28
  • 3 mo ago #133 2025-05-05
  • 6 mo ago #126 2025-02-03
  • 9 mo ago #120 2024-11-04
  • 12 mo ago #96 2024-08-12

Player Metrics

Luca Nardi

Form Index: 24.8
ELO Rating: 656.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1536.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 171.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 6.0
Clay: 6.3
Grass: 5.4
Serve Rating: 96.3
Return Rating: 87.2

Thiago Agustin Tirante

Form Index: 51.2
ELO Rating: 577.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1554.8
Current Fatigue (minutes): 226.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 5.2
Clay: 4.7
Grass: 4.3
Serve Rating: 95.7
Return Rating: 87.0

Recent Matches

Luca Nardi
❌ ✅ ❌ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Alexander Blockx (0-2) hard Cincinnati 83 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Aidan Mayo (2-0) hard Cincinnati 88 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Jannik Sinner (0-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Billy Harris (0-2) grass Eastbourne 81 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Fabian Marozsan (0-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min

Thiago Agustin Tirante
✅ ✅ ❌ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Arthur Cazaux (2-0) hard Cincinnati 101 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs James Trotter (2-1) hard Cincinnati 125 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Alexander Bublik (0-2) clay Kitzbuhel 73 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Jaime Faria (2-0) clay Kitzbuhel 62 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Damir Dzumhur (1-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Luca Nardi
vs
0
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 128 at the Cincinnati Masters 1000, Luca Nardi and Thiago Agustin Tirante will face off on hard courts in Ohio. The predicted winner is Thiago Agustin Tirante, with a probability of winning at 54.69%, while Luca Nardi stands at 45.31%. The match is expected to be competitive, with a predicted total of 23 games played.

Match Analysis

Luca Nardi, currently ranked 97, has a form index of 24.76 and an Elo rating of 656.07, indicating a challenging season so far. His cumulative fatigue count is at 171 minutes, suggesting he may be feeling the effects of his recent matches. Nardi's surface strength index is 6.05, combined with a mean serve index of 96.30 and a mean return index of 87.15, reflecting solid serving capabilities. However, he has struggled with consistency, as shown in his last three matches, where he lost to Alexander Blockx and Jannik Sinner but secured a win against Aidan Mayo. Thiago Agustin Tirante, ranked 130, enters this match with a higher form index of 51.24 and a lower Elo rating of 577.36. His cumulative fatigue is higher at 226 minutes, which may impact his performance. Tirante's surface strength index stands at 5.20, and his mean serve index is slightly lower at 95.67, while his mean return index is comparable at 86.99. His recent form has improved, winning both of his last Cincinnati matches against Arthur Cazaux and James Trotter, showcasing resilience and competitive edge.

Final Prediction

Thiago Agustin Tirante holds a slight edge in form and recent performance, which could prove decisive in this matchup. A key factor to watch will be the players' serving efficiency, as Nardi’s higher mean serve index could tip the scales if he can capitalize on his serving strength despite recent fatigue.

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