Luca Van Assche vs Hugo Gaston: AI Prediction | Games, Spread, Aces & Double Faults

Luca Van Assche arrives ranked 109 with an Elo of 1549.69, a form index of 40.86 and a surface strength index of 38.70; he shows a stronger return profile (mean return 58.18) than serve (mean serve 45.80). Hugo Gaston is slightly lower in the rankings at 116 but has a marginally higher Elo (1559.71) and a similar surface strength index (38.32) and form index (41.38). Both come into the match fresh from the tournament (fatigue 0.0). The gap in serving profiles is pronounced: Gaston’s mean serve index (97.08) exceeds Van Assche’s by more than 50 points, and his mean return index (92.23) is also markedly higher — these are significant differentials that will shape patterns of dominance on both serve and return. Recent form shows parallel trajectories: each has one win and two losses in their last three matches, all on hard courts. Van Assche won his middle match in Miami but lost tight matches to Hanfmann and Galarneau; Gaston posted a long win in Rotterdam before recent losses to O’Connell and Sinner. Neither player carries clay-court match data here, so the assessment leans on surface indices and serve/return profiles.