Us Open NY, U.S.A. Hard Grand Slam Round of 64

Luciano Darderi vs Eliot Spizzirri Prediction

Luciano Darderi

Rank: #34
74%
VS

Eliot Spizzirri

Rank: #128
26%
Predicted Games Played: 35.0
Predicted Winner: Luciano Darderi

Player Metrics

Luciano Darderi

Form Index: 66.5
ELO Rating: 1217.6
Glicko2 Rating: 1627.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 174.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 7.9
Clay: 10.9
Grass: 9.6
Serve Rating: 96.8
Return Rating: 85.9

Eliot Spizzirri

Form Index: 58.0
ELO Rating: 333.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1507.1
Current Fatigue (minutes): 174.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 3.7
Clay: 2.3
Grass: 2.8
Serve Rating: 93.6
Return Rating: 87.9

Recent Matches

Luciano Darderi

  • Last Match: vs Rinky Hijikata (3-0) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Miomir Kecmanovic (0-2) hard Winston Salem 58 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Mackenzie McDonald (2-1) hard Winston Salem 151 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Carlos Taberner (2-0) clay Umag 86 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli (2-0) clay Umag 104 min

Eliot Spizzirri

  • Last Match: vs Stefan Dostanic (3-0) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Lloyd Harris (1-2) hard Cincinnati 150 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Alejandro Moro Canas (2-1) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Li Tu (0-2) grass Stuttgart 75 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Giulio Zeppieri (0-2) clay Roland Garros 174 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Luciano Darderi
vs
0
Eliot Spizzirri
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 64 at the US Open 2025, Luciano Darderi and Eliot Spizzirri will clash on hard courts in New York City. The prediction leans heavily in favor of Luciano Darderi, who has a win probability of 73.97%, compared to 26.03% for Eliot Spizzirri. The anticipated total number of games played in this match is 35.

Match Analysis

Luciano Darderi enters this match ranked 34th, showcasing a solid form index of 66.48 and an Elo rating of 1217.60. He has a cumulative fatigue of 174 minutes from his current tournament, which may impact his performance. His surface strength index stands at 7.92, indicating a strong adaptability to hard courts, while his mean serve index of 96.80 and mean return index of 85.93 highlight his offensive capabilities. In contrast, Eliot Spizzirri, ranked 128th, has a lower form index of 58.04 and a significantly lower Elo rating of 333.11. He shares the same cumulative fatigue level of 174 minutes, but his surface strength index is just 3.65. The difference in mean serve index (over 3 points) and a mean return index, which is over 2 points in favor of Spizzirri, suggests that while Darderi has an advantage, the gap is not excessively wide. Over their last three matches, Darderi has experienced mixed results, with a recent victory against Rinky Hijikata, winning all sets, and a prior loss to Miomir Kecmanovic. His performance against Mackenzie McDonald was commendable, winning in three sets. Spizzirri, on the other hand, has had a stronger recent showing, winning his last match against Stefan Dostanic with a clean sweep, although he faced setbacks against Lloyd Harris in Cincinnati. His ability to secure wins in critical moments will be tested against Darderi.

Final Prediction

Luciano Darderi has a clear edge due to his higher rank, superior surface adaptability, and better overall performance metrics compared to Eliot Spizzirri. Key factors to watch will be Darderi's serve effectiveness and his ability to capitalize on Spizzirri's vulnerabilities in return games.