Auckland New Zealand Hard Atp 250 Quarterfinals

Luciano Darderi vs Marcos Giron Prediction

Luciano Darderi

Rank: #24
46%
VS

Marcos Giron

Rank: #64
54%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Marcos Giron

Ranking Trends

Luciano Darderi

  • Current Rank: #24 (2026-01-05)
  • 3 Months Ago: #26 (2025-10-13)
  • 6 Months Ago: #55 (2025-07-14)
  • 9 Months Ago: #47 (2025-04-14)
  • 12 Months Ago: #45 (2025-01-13)

Marcos Giron

  • Current Rank: #64 (2026-01-05)
  • 3 Months Ago: #54 (2025-10-13)
  • 6 Months Ago: #46 (2025-07-14)
  • 9 Months Ago: #45 (2025-04-14)
  • 12 Months Ago: #46 (2025-01-13)

Player Metrics

Luciano Darderi

Form Index: 32.9
ELO Rating: 1579.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1623.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 108
Surface Strength:
Hard: 27.4
Clay: 34.9
Grass: 31.9
Serve Rating: 38.2
Return Rating: 37.3

Marcos Giron

Form Index: 80.9
ELO Rating: 952.6
Glicko2 Rating: 1626.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 160
Surface Strength:
Hard: 32.7
Clay: 25.2
Grass: 24.9
Serve Rating: 97.8
Return Rating: 94.4

Recent Matches

Luciano Darderi
✅ ❌ ❌ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Alejandro Tabilo (2-1) hard Auckland 108 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Arthur Cazaux (0-2) hard Paris 128 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Brandon Nakashima (0-2) hard Vienna 93 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Shintaro Mochizuki (0-2) hard Almaty 64 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Lorenzo Musetti (0-2) hard Shanghai 131 min

Marcos Giron
✅ ✅ ❌ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Alex Michelsen (2-0) hard Auckland 87 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Alexandre Muller (2-0) hard Auckland 73 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Alexander Bublik (1-2) hard Hong Kong 101 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Michael Mmoh (2-0) hard Hong Kong 49 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Alexandre Muller (2-0) hard Hong Kong 96 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Luciano Darderi
vs
1
Marcos Giron
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 1

Key Prediction Insights

In the quarterfinals of the Auckland tournament, held on hard courts in New Zealand, Marcos Giron is predicted to narrowly defeat Luciano Darderi. The probabilities of winning are 45.53% for Darderi and 54.47% for Giron, with a projected total of 23 games likely to be played in this match.

Match Analysis

Luciano Darderi currently holds a rank of 24, exhibiting a form index of 32.86 and an Elo rating of 1579.36. His cumulative fatigue stands at 108 minutes, which may impact his performance. Darderi has a surface strength index of 27.40, indicating a moderate ability on hard surfaces. His mean serve index is 38.24, and his mean return index is 37.27, suggesting he has room for improvement in both serving and returning. In contrast, Marcos Giron is ranked 64, with a significantly higher form index of 80.90 and an Elo rating of 952.57. His fatigue level is also higher at 160 minutes, but he has a better surface strength index of 32.75. Notably, Giron's mean serve index is 97.83, and his mean return index is 94.41, showing a substantial advantage over Darderi, particularly in serving, with a difference of over 5 points in both serving and returning metrics. Over their last three matches, Darderi has struggled, winning only one match and losing two, while Giron has shown better form, winning both of his last two matches convincingly.

Final Prediction

Marcos Giron possesses a clear edge due to his superior serving and returning capabilities, alongside a stronger recent performance compared to Darderi. A key factor to observe will be Giron's ability to capitalize on his serve, which may determine the flow of the match and overall outcome.