Winston Salem NC, U.S.A. Hard Atp 250 Round of 64

Mackenzie McDonald vs Brandon Holt Prediction

Mackenzie McDonald

Rank: #95
55%
VS

Brandon Holt

Rank: #106
45%
Expected Total Games: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Mackenzie McDonald

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Ranking Trends

Mackenzie McDonald

  • Current #95 2025-08-04
  • 3 mo ago #99 2025-05-19
  • 6 mo ago #115 2025-02-17
  • 9 mo ago #133 2024-11-18
  • 12 mo ago #140 2024-08-19

Brandon Holt

  • Current #106 2025-08-04
  • 3 mo ago #102 2025-05-19
  • 6 mo ago #153 2025-02-17
  • 9 mo ago #200 2024-11-18
  • 12 mo ago #207 2024-08-19

Player Metrics

Mackenzie McDonald

Form Index: 27.5
ELO Rating: 509.8
Glicko2 Rating: 1597.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 6.1
Clay: 3.2
Grass: 4.3
Serve Rating: 96.4
Return Rating: 85.7

Brandon Holt

Form Index: 25.2
ELO Rating: 379.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1521.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 3.5
Clay: 2.0
Grass: 3.2
Serve Rating: 94.8
Return Rating: 86.1

Recent Matches

Mackenzie McDonald
❌ ❌ ✅ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Corentin Moutet (0-2) hard Cincinnati 91 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Jiri Lehecka (0-2) hard Toronto 91 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs David Goffin (2-0) hard Toronto 85 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Ben Shelton (0-2) hard Washington 75 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Colton Smith (2-0) hard Washington 65 min

Brandon Holt
❌ ❌ ❌ ✅ ✅

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

1
Mackenzie McDonald
vs
0
Brandon Holt
Hard
1 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Mackenzie McDonald and Brandon Holt in the Round of 64 at the Winston-Salem tournament promises to be an intriguing contest on hard court. With a predicted winner, Mackenzie McDonald, holding a probability of 55.04% over Holt's 44.96%, the match is expected to feature approximately 23 games in total.

Match Analysis

Mackenzie McDonald, currently ranked 95, possesses a form index of 27.47 and an Elo rating of 509.77. He exhibits a notable surface strength index of 6.10 and a mean serve index of 96.41, which gives him a slight edge over Holt, whose rank is 106, form index is 25.23, and Elo rating is 379.36. The difference in their mean serve indexes exceeds 5 points, with McDonald showcasing a more potent serving ability. Both players have a mean return index that is relatively close, with McDonald at 85.70 and Holt at 86.14, indicating a competitive dynamic on returns. In their recent performances, McDonald has struggled, losing his last two matches against Corentin Moutet and Jiri Lehecka, both in straight sets. However, he did secure a victory against David Goffin three matches ago. On the other hand, Holt has also faced challenges, losing his last three matches, including a recent defeat against Tristan Boyer. Given that both players enter this match with similar recent forms, it will be essential to see how they rebound from their previous results.

Final Prediction

McDonald’s slight edge in serving capabilities and overall metrics gives him a favorable position against Holt. The key factor to watch will be how effectively McDonald can leverage his serving strength to gain early momentum in the match, potentially dictating the pace and flow of play.

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