Toronto Canada Hard Masters 1000 Round of 128

Mackenzie McDonald vs David Goffin Prediction

Mackenzie McDonald

Rank: #95
42%
VS

David Goffin

Rank: #60
58%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: David Goffin

Player Metrics

Mackenzie McDonald

Form Index: 33.8
ELO Rating: 460.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1601.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 5.6
Clay: 3.2
Grass: 4.3
Serve Rating: 96.3
Return Rating: 85.6

David Goffin

Form Index: 24.5
ELO Rating: 945.6
Glicko2 Rating: 1553.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 11.0
Clay: 8.6
Grass: 7.9
Serve Rating: 95.5
Return Rating: 89.3

Recent Matches

Mackenzie McDonald

  • Last Match: vs Ben Shelton (0-2) hard Washington 75 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Colton Smith (2-0) hard Washington 65 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Karen Khachanov (0-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs George Loffhagen (0-2) grass Eastbourne 94 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Holger Rune (1-2) grass London 81 min

David Goffin

  • Last Match: vs Yunchaokete Bu (0-2) hard Washington 104 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo (1-2) clay Gstaad 127 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Martin Landaluce (2-0) clay Gstaad 120 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Rinky Hijikata (0-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Alexandre Muller (1-2) clay Madrid 99 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Mackenzie McDonald
vs
0
David Goffin
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 128 at the Masters 1000 tournament in Toronto, Mackenzie McDonald faces David Goffin on hard court. The predicted winner is David Goffin, with a probability of winning set at 58.13%, while Mackenzie McDonald has a probability of 41.87%. The match is anticipated to be competitive, with a predicted total of 23 games played.

Match Analysis

Mackenzie McDonald is currently ranked 95th, with a form index of 33.78 and an Elo rating of 460.31. He displays a surface strength index of 5.61, indicating limited proficiency on hard surfaces. His mean serve index is a solid 96.26, while his mean return index is slightly lower at 85.59. Conversely, David Goffin holds a higher rank at 60, with a form index of 24.52 and a significantly better Elo rating of 945.61. Goffin's surface strength index stands at 10.99, reflecting stronger performance on hard courts. While both players have comparable serve indices, Goffin's mean return index of 89.30 surpasses McDonald's by more than 5 points, indicating an advantage in returning serves. In their recent performances, McDonald has struggled, losing two of his last three matches, including a first-round exit in Washington. His lone victory came against Colton Smith, where he won convincingly. Goffin's recent form has been inconsistent; he lost his most recent match in Washington but had a previous victory against Martin Landaluce in Gstaad. Despite this inconsistency, Goffin's overall experience and higher Elo rating provide him with an edge in this matchup.

Final Prediction

David Goffin's superior ranking, experience, and better mean return index position him as the favorite in this contest. A critical factor to observe will be Goffin's ability to capitalize on McDonald's return vulnerabilities, which may dictate the flow of the match and ultimately lead him to victory.