Rome Italy Clay Masters 1000 Round of 64

Taylor Fritz vs Marcos Giron Prediction

Taylor Fritz

Rank: #4
72%
VS

Marcos Giron

Rank: #45
28%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Taylor Fritz

Player Metrics

Taylor Fritz

Form Index: 52.2
ELO Rating: 4644.2
Glicko2 Rating: 1796.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 34.3
Clay: 40.3
Grass: 44.6
Serve Rating: 98.9
Return Rating: 86.8

Marcos Giron

Form Index: 44.8
ELO Rating: 1306.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1600.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 119.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 12.5
Clay: 8.6
Grass: 11.7
Serve Rating: 95.8
Return Rating: 86.0

Recent Matches

Taylor Fritz

  • Last Match: vs Casper Ruud (0-2) clay Madrid 96 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Benjamin Bonzi (1-1) clay Madrid 96 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Christopher O'Connell (2-0) clay Madrid 75 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Jakub Mensik (1-2) hard Miami 145 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Matteo Berrettini (2-1) hard Miami 164 min

Marcos Giron

  • Last Match: vs Gabriel Diallo (2-1) clay Rome 119 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Matteo Berrettini (1-2) clay Madrid 154 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Learner Tien (2-1) clay Madrid 127 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Miomir Kecmanovic (1-2) clay Munich 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Jack Draper (0-2) clay Monte Carlo 61 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

1
Taylor Fritz
vs
0
Marcos Giron
Hard
1 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The match between Taylor Fritz and Marcos Giron takes place in the Round of 64 at the Masters 1000 tournament in Rome, Italy, on clay. Based on current form and performance metrics, Taylor Fritz is predicted to emerge victorious with a win probability of 71.69% compared to Marcos Giron's 28.31%. The expected total number of games played in this match is estimated at 23.0.

Match Analysis

Taylor Fritz, ranked 4th, boasts a form index of 52.17 and an impressive Elo rating of 4644.17. His surface strength index of 40.30 suggests solid adaptability on clay courts, while fatigue levels are at 0, indicating he comes into this match fresh. In comparison, Marcos Giron is ranked 45th with a form index of 44.81 and a significantly lower Elo rating of 1306.10. His surface strength index stands at 8.59, revealing a struggle on clay, and he carries a notable fatigue level of 119 minutes from previous matches, which could impact his performance. Fritz's mean serve index of 98.88 greatly surpasses Giron’s 95.77, providing him with a significant advantage in service games. Moreover, Fritz’s mean return index of 86.78 also exceeds Giron’s 85.96 by more than 5 points, suggesting that Fritz will effectively challenge Giron’s serves throughout the match. Recent performances indicate Fritz struggled against Casper Ruud but won against Benjamin Bonzi and Christopher O'Connell, showcasing resilience. Giron, on the other hand, recently triumphed over Gabriel Diallo but faced defeat against Matteo Berrettini and performed well against Learner Tien, suggesting inconsistency in form.

Final Prediction

Taylor Fritz possesses a clear edge due to his higher ranking, superior serve and return metrics, and fresh condition coming into the match. A key factor to monitor will be how effectively Giron can handle Fritz's powerful serve, which may dictate the pace and outcome of the match.