Wimbledon Great Britain Grass Grand Slam Round of 16

Marin Cilic vs Flavio Cobolli Prediction

Marin Cilic

Rank: #83
21%
VS

Flavio Cobolli

Rank: #24
79%
Predicted Games Played: 36.0
Predicted Winner: Flavio Cobolli

Player Metrics

Marin Cilic

Form Index: 84.7
ELO Rating: 806.8
Glicko2 Rating: 1527.8
Current Fatigue (minutes): 522.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 7.8
Clay: 2.9
Grass: 5.3
Serve Rating: 96.4
Return Rating: 87.1

Flavio Cobolli

Form Index: 80.0
ELO Rating: 1427.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1651.8
Current Fatigue (minutes): 522.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 9.9
Clay: 13.1
Grass: 11.7
Serve Rating: 95.3
Return Rating: 88.1

Recent Matches

Marin Cilic

  • Last Match: vs Jaume Munar (3-1) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Jack Draper (3-1) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Raphael Collignon (3-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Flavio Cobolli (0-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Lloyd Harris (1-2) clay Roland Garros 174 min

Flavio Cobolli

  • Last Match: vs Jakub Mensik (3-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Jack Pinnington Jones (3-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Beibit Zhukayev (3-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Jacob Fearnley (0-2) grass Eastbourne 65 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Alexander Zverev (0-2) grass Halle 101 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Marin Cilic
vs
1
Flavio Cobolli
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 1
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The Round of 16 match at Wimbledon between Marin Cilic and Flavio Cobolli is set to be a pivotal encounter on the grass courts of Great Britain. With Cobolli favored to win, he holds a predicted probability of 78.64%, while Cilic is at 21.36%. The anticipated total number of games played in this match is estimated to be 36.

Match Analysis

Marin Cilic, currently ranked 83, has a form index of 84.69, indicating decent recent performance. His Elo rating of 806.81 and a cumulative fatigue level of 522 minutes reflect the challenges he faces in this tournament. Cilic's surface strength index stands at 5.28, which is relatively low for grass, while his mean serve index is 96.44, and his mean return index is 87.14. This indicates a solid serve, but his return game lags slightly behind. In contrast, Flavio Cobolli boasts a significantly higher rank of 24 and a strong Elo rating of 1427.03, showcasing his growing status in the sport. His fatigue level is identical to Cilic's at 522 minutes, but Cobolli's surface strength index of 11.74 suggests a better adaptation to grass. His mean serve index is 95.33, which is competitive, but more importantly, his mean return index of 88.13 indicates a slight edge over Cilic's return capabilities. Both players have performed impressively in their last three matches, with Cobolli winning all three without dropping a set, while Cilic also won his three matches but lost one set.

Final Prediction

Flavio Cobolli's higher rank and Elo rating, combined with a stronger surface strength index, give him a notable advantage in this matchup. His consistent performance without losing a set in the tournament so far underscores his readiness for this challenge, making him the player to watch. The key factor during the match will be the effectiveness of Cobolli's return game against Cilic's serve, which could prove decisive in determining the outcome.