Wimbledon Great Britain Grass Grand Slam Round of 64

Jack Draper vs Marin Cilic Prediction

Jack Draper

Rank: #4
77%
VS

Marin Cilic

Rank: #83
23%
Predicted Games Played: 36.0
Predicted Winner: Jack Draper

Player Metrics

Jack Draper

Form Index: 75.5
ELO Rating: 2529.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1707.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 174.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 23.3
Clay: 19.8
Grass: 22.1
Serve Rating: 97.1
Return Rating: 87.2

Marin Cilic

Form Index: 69.6
ELO Rating: 552.8
Glicko2 Rating: 1514.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 174.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 7.8
Clay: 2.9
Grass: 3.4
Serve Rating: 95.4
Return Rating: 87.2

Recent Matches

Jack Draper

  • Last Match: vs Sebastian Baez (3-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Jiri Lehecka (1-2) grass London 127 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Brandon Nakashima (2-1) grass London 142 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Alexei Popyrin (2-1) grass London 133 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Jenson Brooksby (2-0) grass London 77 min

Marin Cilic

  • Last Match: vs Raphael Collignon (3-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Flavio Cobolli (0-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Lloyd Harris (1-2) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Pol Martin Tiffon (2-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Yibing Wu (2-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Jack Draper
vs
0
Marin Cilic
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match at Wimbledon between Jack Draper and Marin Cilic marks a pivotal Round of 64 encounter on grass, a surface that traditionally favors powerful serve-and-volley play. Jack Draper is predicted to win with a probability of 77.41%, while Marin Cilic has a 22.59% chance of victory. The anticipated total number of games played is 36.

Match Analysis

Jack Draper, currently ranked 4th, boasts a strong form index of 75.51 and an Elo rating of 2529, indicating a robust performance level. His surface strength index of 22.12 reflects his adaptability on grass, while a mean serve index of 97.08 showcases his powerful serving capabilities. Conversely, Marin Cilic, ranked 83rd, has a lower form index of 69.65 and an Elo rating of 552.84, which suggests he is struggling relative to his past form. Cilic’s surface strength index of 3.36 highlights his challenges on grass, compounded by a mean serve index of 95.36. The significant difference in mean serve index (1.72) between the two players may not be substantial enough to be decisive, but it does indicate Draper's superior serving prowess. In their recent matches, Draper has shown promising performances, winning two out of his last three matches, including a straight-sets victory against Sebastian Baez in his last outing. In contrast, Cilic has also won his last match against Raphael Collignon but struggled in his previous outings at Roland Garros, failing to secure a win in two consecutive matches. This recent form indicates a potential momentum shift favoring Draper.

Final Prediction

Jack Draper's edge lies in his higher ranking, better form, and superior performance metrics, particularly in serving. A key factor to watch will be Draper’s ability to leverage his serve effectively against Cilic, especially given both players' fatigue levels from their recent matches.