Roland Garros France Clay Grand Slam Round of 64

Martin Landaluce vs Vit Kopriva: AI Prediction | Games, Spread, Aces & Double Faults

Martin Landaluce

Rank: #67
54%
VS

Vit Kopriva

Rank: #63
46%
Expected Total Games: 39.6
Predicted Winner: Martin Landaluce

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Player Metrics

Martin Landaluce

Form Index: 71.7
ELO Rating: 1764.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1789.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 174.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 29.8
Clay: 16.8
Grass: 10.6
Serve Rating: 94.4
Return Rating: 92.0

Vit Kopriva

Form Index: 50.7
ELO Rating: 1687.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1708.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 174.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 15.8
Clay: 24.9
Grass: 5.9
Serve Rating: 94.2
Return Rating: 88.2

Recent Matches

Martin Landaluce

  • Last Match: vs Juan Carlos Prado Angelo (3-2) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Daniil Medvedev (1-2) clay Rome 143 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Hamad Medjedovic (2-0) clay Rome 107 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Mattia Bellucci (2-0) clay Rome 107 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Marin Cilic (2-0) clay Rome 127 min

Vit Kopriva

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Martin Landaluce
vs
0
Vit Kopriva
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

This Roland Garros Round of 64 clash in Paris pits Martin Landaluce against Vit Kopriva on the slow, high-bounce clay of a grand slam. The model gives Landaluce the narrow edge — 53.67% to Kopriva’s 46.33% — with an expected total of about 39.6 games in the match.

Match Analysis

Landaluce comes in ranked 67 with a stronger form index (71.67) and a higher Elo (1764.04) than Kopriva, who is ranked 63 with a form index of 50.70 and Elo 1686.99. Both players have logged identical cumulative tournament fatigue (174 minutes), so recent court time is not a differentiator. Kopriva, however, shows a clearer clay pedigree in the surface strength index (24.87 vs Landaluce’s 16.83), which could matter in long baseline exchanges typical of Paris. Serving and returning metrics are similar: mean serve indices are nearly identical (Landaluce 94.37, Kopriva 94.23) and return indices are close enough that no single player holds a glaring statistical edge on either side of the ball. Over their last three matches Landaluce has two wins and a competitive loss — a five-set Roland Garros win over Juan Carlos Prado Angelo and a straight-sets loss to Daniil Medvedev in Rome mixed with a solid win over Hamad Medjedovic. Kopriva also prevailed in five sets at Roland Garros (over Corentin Moutet) but follows that with two defeats to higher-ranked opponents in Hamburg and Rome, indicating streaky results on clay.

Total Games Predictions

🎾
Expected Total Games in Match 39.6 Most likely outcome: 39 games

📊 Total Games Probability Distribution

Distribution

Probability of each total games outcome

Probability distribution chart for total games in Martin Landaluce versus Vit Kopriva. The X-axis shows possible total games values and the Y-axis shows the predicted probability percentage for each outcome.
Cumulative Probability (CDF)

Probability of total games ≤ X

Cumulative distribution function chart for total games in Martin Landaluce versus Vit Kopriva. The curve rises from 0% to 100%, showing the cumulative probability for each games total threshold.

Games Spread Predictions

📈
Expected Games Spread (Martin Landaluce - Vit Kopriva) +0.2 Most likely spread: 0 (even number of games won)

📊 Games Spread Probability Distribution

Distribution

Probability of each games spread outcome

Probability distribution chart for games spread in Martin Landaluce versus Vit Kopriva. Positive values indicate Martin Landaluce winning more games, negative values indicate Vit Kopriva winning more games.
Cumulative Probability (CDF)

Probability of spread ≤ X

Cumulative distribution function chart for games spread in Martin Landaluce versus Vit Kopriva. The curve shows the cumulative probability for each spread threshold.

Aces and Double Faults Predictions

The aces prediction for this match sits at a moderate 12.73 total; predicted aces are suppressed by clay’s slower pace and higher bounce, which reduces outright service winners. The expected double faults tally is 8.58; double faults prediction reflects the physical grind of clay rallies and cumulative fatigue. With both players posting nearly identical serve ratings, no single big-server profile should inflate the ace count significantly.
🎯
Expected Total Aces 12.7 Most likely: 12 aces
Expected Total Double Faults 8.6 Most likely: 8 double faults

🎯 Aces Probability Distribution

Distribution

Probability of each ace count outcome

Probability distribution chart for total aces in Martin Landaluce versus Vit Kopriva. Higher ace counts are more likely on faster surfaces like grass.
Cumulative Probability (CDF)

Probability of aces ≤ X

Cumulative distribution function chart for total aces in Martin Landaluce versus Vit Kopriva. The curve shows the cumulative probability for each aces threshold.

Double Faults Probability Distribution

Distribution

Probability of each double fault count outcome

Probability distribution chart for double faults in Martin Landaluce versus Vit Kopriva. Clay surface matches tend to produce more double faults due to fatigue in longer rallies.
Cumulative Probability (CDF)

Probability of double faults ≤ X

Cumulative distribution function chart for double faults in Martin Landaluce versus Vit Kopriva. The curve shows the cumulative probability for each double faults threshold.

🎯 Match Format Predictions

Tiebreak Likelihood

Probability that any tiebreak is played in this match

40.7% Predicted: No tiebreak

Exact Score Distribution BO5

Probability of each set-by-set outcome (Martin Landaluce's perspective)

3-0 Most likely set score (20.2%)
Probability distribution of the final set score from Martin Landaluce's perspective. Format: BO5.

Final Prediction

Landaluce’s higher form and Elo give him a slight statistical edge, while Kopriva’s better clay-specific index keeps the contest tight. The key factor to watch will be return games and break-point conversion — small advantages there are likely to decide a close match.

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