Roland Garros France Clay Grand Slam Round of 128

Marton Fucsovics vs Tristan Schoolkate Prediction

Marton Fucsovics

Rank: #134
49%
VS

Tristan Schoolkate

Rank: #129
51%
Expected Total Games: 36.0
Predicted Winner: Tristan Schoolkate

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Ranking Trends

Marton Fucsovics

  • Current #134 2025-05-05
  • 3 mo ago #88 2025-02-24
  • 6 mo ago #103 2024-11-25
  • 9 mo ago #81 2024-08-26
  • 12 mo ago #54 2024-05-27

Tristan Schoolkate

  • Current #129 2025-05-05
  • 3 mo ago #133 2025-02-24
  • 6 mo ago #169 2024-11-25
  • 9 mo ago #193 2024-08-26
  • 12 mo ago #186 2024-05-27

Player Metrics

Marton Fucsovics

Form Index: 39.4
ELO Rating: 686.5
Glicko2 Rating: 1595.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 5.9
Clay: 7.4
Grass: 5.2
Serve Rating: 96.9
Return Rating: 87.4

Tristan Schoolkate

Form Index: 38.8
ELO Rating: 423.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1525.6
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 4.6
Clay: 2.7
Grass: 3.4
Serve Rating: 96.1
Return Rating: 85.7

Recent Matches

Marton Fucsovics
❌ ✅ ❌ ✅ ❌

Tristan Schoolkate
❌ ❌ ✅ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Kilian Feldbausch (1-2) clay Geneva 123 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Felix Auger-Aliassime (0-2) hard Miami 87 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Ethan Quinn (1-0) hard Miami 61 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Adam Walton (2-0) hard Miami 77 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Stefano Napolitano (2-1) hard Miami 170 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Marton Fucsovics
vs
0
Tristan Schoolkate
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The matchup between Marton Fucsovics and Tristan Schoolkate at Roland Garros marks an intriguing encounter in the Round of 128 on the clay surface. With both players hovering around the lower rungs of the ATP rankings, Schoolkate is slightly favored to win with a 50.72% probability, while Fucsovics has a probability of 49.28%. The predicted total number of games played is set at 36.0, indicating a potentially competitive match.

Match Analysis

Marton Fucsovics, ranked 134, holds a form index of 39.38 and an Elo rating of 686.49. He has a surface strength index of 7.42, indicating some proficiency on clay, alongside a mean serve index of 96.93 and a mean return index of 87.40. In contrast, Tristan Schoolkate, ranked 129, has a lower form index of 38.77 and a much lower Elo rating of 423.28. His surface strength index is significantly weaker at 2.71, but his mean serve index of 96.05 is close to Fucsovics’s, with a mean return index of 85.68. The mean serve index difference is marginal, and the return index difference does not exceed 5 points, suggesting that both players are relatively equal in serving capability. In their recent performances, Fucsovics has struggled, losing to top-tier players like Novak Djokovic and Alexander Shevchenko, winning only one match against Zizou Bergs. Schoolkate has shown resilience, although he has also faced defeats, notably against Kilian Feldbausch, Felix Auger-Aliassime, and a recent win against Ethan Quinn. This mixed form could impact their confidence heading into this match.

Final Prediction

Tristan Schoolkate’s slight edge in the predicted outcome stems from a marginally better probability of winning and recent performance consistency, despite a lower Elo rating. Key to watch will be how Fucsovics's clay experience translates against Schoolkate's recent resilience, which could ultimately dictate the match's tempo and outcome.

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