Roland Garros France Clay Grand Slam Round of 128

Maximilian Marterer vs Adam Walton Prediction

Maximilian Marterer

Rank: #215
29%
VS

Adam Walton

Rank: #88
71%
Expected Total Games: 37.0
Predicted Winner: Adam Walton

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Ranking Trends

Maximilian Marterer

  • Current #215 2025-05-05
  • 3 mo ago #198 2025-02-24
  • 6 mo ago #186 2024-11-25
  • 9 mo ago #100 2024-08-26
  • 12 mo ago #101 2024-05-27

Adam Walton

  • Current #88 2025-05-05
  • 3 mo ago #97 2025-02-24
  • 6 mo ago #92 2024-11-25
  • 9 mo ago #95 2024-08-26
  • 12 mo ago #96 2024-05-27

Player Metrics

Maximilian Marterer

Form Index: 70.0
ELO Rating: 406.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1574.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 522.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 2.9
Clay: 4.5
Grass: 2.5
Serve Rating: 97.2
Return Rating: 87.6

Adam Walton

Form Index: 43.7
ELO Rating: 700.5
Glicko2 Rating: 1559.1
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 6.1
Clay: 5.5
Grass: 5.3
Serve Rating: 96.0
Return Rating: 86.4

Recent Matches

Maximilian Marterer
✅ ✅ ✅ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Federico Arnaboldi (2-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Federico Coria (1-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Edas Butvilas (2-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Hugo Dellien (0-2) hard Australian Open 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Alexandre Muller (1-2) hard Vienna 110 min

Adam Walton
❌ ✅ ❌ ✅ ✅

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Maximilian Marterer
vs
0
Adam Walton
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 128 at the 2025 Roland Garros, Maximilian Marterer faces Adam Walton on the clay courts of France. Given the current form and statistics, Adam Walton is predicted to win with a probability of 71.35%, while Maximilian Marterer has a 28.65% chance of victory. The match is anticipated to feature a total of approximately 37 games.

Match Analysis

Maximilian Marterer, currently ranked 215, has a form index of 70.02 and an Elo rating of 406.12. Notably, his cumulative fatigue stands at 522 minutes, which could impact his performance. His surface strength index of 4.53 indicates a moderate aptitude for clay, while his mean serve index of 97.24 suggests he possesses a strong serve. However, his mean return index of 87.59 shows he may struggle to capitalize on Walton's serves. In contrast, Adam Walton, ranked 88, presents a more favorable profile with an Elo rating of 700.54 and a surface strength index of 5.49, signifying better adaptability to clay courts. Walton's fatigue is currently at 0, providing him with a fresh advantage. His mean serve index of 95.96 and mean return index of 86.43 indicate a well-rounded game, although the difference in serve index is minimal. Recent performances highlight Walton's mixed results, having lost his last match but won the preceding one, while Marterer has shown resilience by winning all three of his recent matches at Roland Garros.

Final Prediction

Adam Walton's higher ranking, fresh condition, and superior surface strength index give him a significant edge heading into this match. A key factor to monitor will be Walton's ability to maintain his energy levels and exploit any weaknesses in Marterer's game, particularly in serve and return exchanges on the clay surface.

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