Miomir Kecmanovic vs Mattia Bellucci: AI Prediction | Games, Spread, Aces & Double Faults

Kecmanovic arrives as the higher-ranked player (No. 66) with a stronger form index (37.37) and a markedly higher Elo (1,033.95) compared with Bellucci (rank 107, form 10.34, Elo 721.50). Both players show similar low surface strength indices on hard (Kecmanovic 6.90, Bellucci 6.49) and neither carries fatigue from prior matches in this tournament. There is a large gap in serve profiles: Bellucci’s mean serve index (98.22) exceeds Kecmanovic’s (75.27) by over 20 points, and Bellucci also posts a substantially higher mean return index (89.94) than Kecmanovic (67.19) — both differences greater than five points and likely to shape key phases. Recent form favors Kecmanovic, who reached the latter stages in Dallas with two wins (Paul, Shimabukuro) before a three-set loss to Ben Shelton; his recent matches were long, showing match toughness. Bellucci has struggled in his last three recorded hard-court matches, losing each in straight sets (to Nakashima, Ruud, Medjedovic) with relatively short durations, indicating he has not converted opportunities at this level recently.