Nuno Borges vs Francisco Cerundolo: AI Prediction | Games, Spread, Aces & Double Faults

The model's edge for Borges comes mainly from recent form and a stronger combined serve and return profile. Borges brings a noticeably higher form index at 60.79 compared with Cerundolo's 32.85, and his Elo sits slightly above at 1740.29 versus 1732.14. Those metrics feed into the 9.6 and 7.4 percentage point boosts that pushed the prediction toward Borges. Borges also enters having played and won a long first round here, which supports the recent form signal despite added minutes on court. Cerundolo still has advantages that cut into that advantage. He is the higher-ranked player at 23 versus Borges at 55, and his surface strength index is stronger for hard courts (36.17 to Borges 27.50). The model accounts for Cerundolo's standing with small adjustments from recent record by level, overall strength, and opposition quality that together shift a few percentage points in his favour. Borges shows a high mean serve index of 96.75 and a mean return index of 88.15. Cerundolo posts similar serving and returning numbers, with a mean serve index of 95.29 and return index of 90.18, so neither player holds a clear edge on raw serve metrics. Recent match form is divergent. Borges has two wins and one loss in his last three matches, including a tough 178 minute win in Cincinnati. Cerundolo has one win and two losses in his last three outings, coming off defeats in Toronto and Los Cabos.