Roland Garros France Clay Grand Slam Round of 128

Pablo Carreno Busta vs Francisco Comesana Prediction

Pablo Carreno Busta

Rank: #98
38%
VS

Francisco Comesana

Rank: #63
62%
Predicted Games Played: 38.0
Predicted Winner: Francisco Comesana

Ranking Trends

Pablo Carreno Busta

  • Current Rank: #98 (2025-05-05)
  • 3 Months Ago: #112 (2025-02-24)
  • 6 Months Ago: #198 (2024-11-25)
  • 9 Months Ago: #213 (2024-08-26)
  • 12 Months Ago: #1049 (2024-05-27)

Francisco Comesana

  • Current Rank: #63 (2025-05-05)
  • 3 Months Ago: #67 (2025-02-24)
  • 6 Months Ago: #84 (2024-11-25)
  • 9 Months Ago: #108 (2024-08-26)
  • 12 Months Ago: #99 (2024-05-27)

Player Metrics

Pablo Carreno Busta

Form Index: 29.4
ELO Rating: 399.7
Glicko2 Rating: 1500.8
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 5.4
Clay: 2.9
Grass: 2.7
Serve Rating: 96.2
Return Rating: 86.2

Francisco Comesana

Form Index: 32.6
ELO Rating: 890.6
Glicko2 Rating: 1573.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 5.1
Clay: 8.0
Grass: 6.7
Serve Rating: 95.8
Return Rating: 86.9

Recent Matches

Pablo Carreno Busta
❌ ❌ ✅ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli (1-2) clay Rome 126 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Roman Andres Burruchaga (1-2) clay Rome 140 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Thiago Agustin Tirante (2-0) clay Rome 96 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Nuno Borges (1-2) clay Madrid 152 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Arthur Fils (0-2) clay Barcelona 93 min

Francisco Comesana
❌ ❌ ✅ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Tomas Martin Etcheverry (0-2) clay Hamburg 119 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Holger Rune (1-2) clay Rome 177 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Daniel Altmaier (2-0) clay Rome 82 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Francisco Cerundolo (0-2) clay Madrid 96 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Arthur Fils (2-0) clay Madrid 105 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Pablo Carreno Busta
vs
0
Francisco Comesana
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 128 at the 2025 Roland Garros, clay courts will host a compelling matchup between Pablo Carreno Busta and Francisco Comesana. With a predicted total of 38 games, Comesana is favored to win with a probability of 61.61%, while Carreno Busta holds a 38.39% chance of victory.

Match Analysis

Pablo Carreno Busta, currently ranked 98, comes into this match with a form index of 29.40 and an Elo rating of 399.72. His cumulative fatigue is at 0.0 minutes, indicating he hasn't spent significant time on court recently. On clay, his surface strength index is 2.92, suggesting some struggles on this surface. In contrast, Francisco Comesana, ranked 63, has a superior form index of 32.64 and a much higher Elo rating of 890.63. With a surface strength index of 7.96, he is notably more adept on clay. The slight difference in their mean serve indexes (Carreno Busta at 96.17 compared to Comesana at 95.77) is marginal, while Comesana's mean return index (86.92) surpasses Carreno Busta's (86.20) by a small margin, but does not exceed the 5-point threshold. Over their last three matches, Carreno Busta has struggled, winning only one out of three, including two recent losses on clay against lower-ranked opponents. Comesana, meanwhile, has also faced challenges, winning one of his last three matches, but he faced tougher competition, notably losing to Holger Rune and Tomas Martin Etcheverry. His victory against Daniel Altmaier reflects his competitive edge despite recent setbacks.

Final Prediction

Francisco Comesana's higher ranking, better recent form, and superior surface strength index provide him with a clear advantage heading into this matchup. A key factor to monitor will be Comesana's ability to capitalize on his return game, as his slight edge in return index could prove crucial on the clay courts of Roland Garros.