Brussels Belgium Hard Atp 250 Round of 32

Reilly Opelka vs Benjamin Bonzi Prediction

Reilly Opelka

Rank: #64
57%
VS

Benjamin Bonzi

Rank: #48
43%
Expected Total Games: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Reilly Opelka

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Player Metrics

Reilly Opelka

Form Index: 23.8
ELO Rating: 1025.8
Glicko2 Rating: 1657.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 8.8
Clay: 3.6
Grass: 5.6
Serve Rating: 98.6
Return Rating: 82.9

Benjamin Bonzi

Form Index: 45.1
ELO Rating: 1122.8
Glicko2 Rating: 1582.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 9.7
Clay: 5.8
Grass: 7.0
Serve Rating: 95.4
Return Rating: 86.4

Recent Matches

Reilly Opelka

  • Last Match: vs Benjamin Bonzi (0-2) hard Shanghai 95 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Carlos Alcaraz (0-3) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Francisco Comesana (1-2) hard Cincinnati 188 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Alex de Minaur (2-0) hard Cincinnati 99 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Hugo Dellien (2-0) hard Cincinnati 100 min

Benjamin Bonzi

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Reilly Opelka
vs
1
Benjamin Bonzi
Hard
0 - 1
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 32 at the Brussels tournament, Reilly Opelka faces Benjamin Bonzi on hard courts. The predicted winner is Reilly Opelka, with a probability of winning set at 56.63%, while Benjamin Bonzi stands at 43.37%. The match is expected to feature a total of approximately 23 games.

Match Analysis

Reilly Opelka, ranked 64th, has a form index of 23.79 and an Elo rating of 1025.79. His surface strength index of 8.82 indicates some proficiency on hard courts, though he has struggled recently with cumulative fatigue at 0.0 minutes. His mean serve index of 98.55 is significantly higher than Bonzi's 95.39, showcasing a clear advantage in serving capabilities. In contrast, Bonzi, ranked 48th, holds a better form index of 45.11 and an Elo rating of 1122.84, indicating a stronger recent performance. His surface strength index is slightly better at 9.73, while his mean return index of 86.39 surpasses Opelka's 82.89, suggesting better proficiency in returning serves. In their last three matches, Opelka has struggled, losing each encounter without winning a set, including a recent defeat against Bonzi in Shanghai. Conversely, Bonzi has shown better form, notably winning against Opelka in their last match while losing to Gabriel Diallo in the subsequent match. His recent performances indicate a more favorable trend, although he also lost two out of his last three matches.

Final Prediction

Reilly Opelka's superior serving power gives him an edge in this matchup, despite his recent struggles. However, the key factor to watch will be the effectiveness of Bonzi's return game, as his ability to break Opelka's serve could dictate the outcome of the match.

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