Cincinnati OH, U.S.A. Hard Masters 1000 Round of 64

Roberto Bautista Agut vs Cameron Norrie Prediction

Roberto Bautista Agut

Rank: #53
37%
VS

Cameron Norrie

Rank: #39
63%
Predicted Games Played: 24.0
Predicted Winner: Cameron Norrie

Player Metrics

Roberto Bautista Agut

Form Index: 35.2
ELO Rating: 1197.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1604.8
Current Fatigue (minutes): 119.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 8.9
Clay: 9.2
Grass: 10.1
Serve Rating: 97.0
Return Rating: 87.1

Cameron Norrie

Form Index: 47.8
ELO Rating: 1407.2
Glicko2 Rating: 1711.6
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 10.2
Clay: 11.3
Grass: 11.3
Serve Rating: 95.5
Return Rating: 88.0

Recent Matches

Roberto Bautista Agut

  • Last Match: vs Daniel Altmaier (2-0) hard Cincinnati 119 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Thiago Seyboth Wild (0-2) clay Kitzbuhel 118 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Cameron Norrie (1-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Alex Michelsen (0-2) grass Mallorca 103 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Bernard Tomic (2-0) grass Mallorca 67 min

Cameron Norrie

  • Last Match: vs Aleksandar Vukic (1-2) hard Toronto 127 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Brandon Nakashima (0-2) hard Washington 107 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Lorenzo Musetti (2-1) hard Washington 126 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Billy Harris (2-0) hard Washington 103 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Carlos Alcaraz (0-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Roberto Bautista Agut
vs
2
Cameron Norrie
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 1
Grass
0 - 1

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Roberto Bautista Agut and Cameron Norrie at the Cincinnati Masters 1000 promises to be an intriguing encounter on hard courts. With Bautista Agut ranked 53rd and Norrie at 39th, the stakes are high in this round of 64 clash. The prediction favors Norrie, with a win probability of 63.40% compared to Bautista Agut's 36.60%, and a projected total of 24 games in the match.

Match Analysis

Roberto Bautista Agut enters the match with a rank of 53 and a form index of 35.20, indicating a period of struggle. His Elo rating stands at 1197, and he has accumulated 119 minutes of fatigue in this tournament, which could hinder his performance. His surface strength index of 8.91 suggests he is not at his strongest on hard courts. In contrast, Cameron Norrie, ranked 39th, boasts a higher form index of 47.83 and a superior Elo rating of 1407. With no recorded fatigue from this tournament, Norrie is in a better physical state. His surface strength index of 10.24 shows he is more adept on hard courts than Bautista Agut. The mean serve index difference of just 1.49 does not indicate a significant edge for either player, but Norrie's mean return index of 87.95 slightly surpasses Bautista Agut's 87.07, suggesting a minor advantage in return play. In their recent performances, Bautista Agut secured a victory against Daniel Altmaier in Cincinnati, but prior to that, he suffered losses in Kitzbuhel and Wimbledon, including a defeat against Norrie. Conversely, Norrie's last match ended in defeat against Aleksandar Vukic, but he previously achieved a win against Lorenzo Musetti in Washington. Both players have faced challenges recently, but Norrie's overall current form and fitness may provide him with the upper hand.

Final Prediction

Cameron Norrie is favored to win due to his higher rank, better Elo rating, and absence of fatigue, which collectively offer him an edge in this matchup. A key factor to watch will be Norrie's return game, as his ability to capitalize on Bautista Agut's serve could be pivotal in determining the match's outcome.