Stockholm Sweden Hard Atp 250 Round of 16

Sebastian Korda vs Kamil Majchrzak Prediction

Sebastian Korda

Rank: #63
50%
VS

Kamil Majchrzak

Rank: #66
50%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Sebastian Korda

Player Metrics

Sebastian Korda

Form Index: 44.0
ELO Rating: 1498.9
Glicko2 Rating: 1666.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 143.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 13.0
Clay: 15.2
Grass: 18.1
Serve Rating: 96.9
Return Rating: 85.4

Kamil Majchrzak

Form Index: 63.7
ELO Rating: 942.9
Glicko2 Rating: 1652.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 80.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 7.1
Clay: 4.8
Grass: 6.2
Serve Rating: 94.0
Return Rating: 87.0

Recent Matches

Sebastian Korda

  • Last Match: vs Alexei Popyrin (2-1) hard Stockholm 143 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Zizou Bergs (0-2) hard Shanghai 97 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Taylor Fritz (1-2) hard Tokio 138 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Sho Shimabukuro (2-0) hard Tokio 80 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Marcos Giron (2-1) hard Tokio 149 min

Kamil Majchrzak

  • Last Match: vs Filip Misolic (2-0) hard Stockholm 80 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Brandon Nakashima (2-0) hard Shanghai 70 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Ethan Quinn (2-0) hard Shanghai 66 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Leandro Riedi (0-1) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Karen Khachanov (3-2) hard Us Open 174 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

1
Sebastian Korda
vs
0
Kamil Majchrzak
Hard
1 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 16 at the Stockholm tournament, Sebastian Korda is set to face Kamil Majchrzak on hard court. The match promises to be competitive, with Korda slightly favored to win at a probability of 50.03%, compared to Majchrzak's 49.97%. The predicted total number of games played in this matchup is 23.0.

Match Analysis

Sebastian Korda, currently ranked 63, has a form index of 44.00 and an Elo rating of 1498.91. Despite a higher rank and Elo rating, Korda's cumulative fatigue stands at 143 minutes, which could impact his performance. His surface strength index of 12.98 suggests he is relatively comfortable on hard courts, bolstered by a mean serve index of 96.92. In contrast, Kamil Majchrzak, ranked 66, boasts a stronger recent form index of 63.68 and a lower fatigue level of 80 minutes, potentially giving him an endurance edge. His Elo rating of 942.95 and surface strength index of 7.07 indicate he is less effective on hard courts compared to Korda. Importantly, Korda has a higher mean serve index, with a difference greater than 5 points, which could be a decisive factor in their serve games. In their recent performances, Korda's last three matches have seen him struggle, with one win against Alexei Popyrin and two losses. His recent form may raise concerns about his confidence heading into this match. Conversely, Majchrzak has been in solid form, winning all three of his last matches, including two in Shanghai and one in Stockholm, where he displayed consistent dominance by winning all sets.

Final Prediction

Sebastian Korda is slightly favored to win, primarily due to his superior serve index and experience, despite his recent struggles. A key factor to watch will be Korda's ability to maintain his serve effectiveness amidst the fatigue accumulated from previous matches, as this could significantly influence the outcome of the match.