Cincinnati OH, U.S.A. Hard Masters 1000 Round of 128

Sebastian Ofner vs Valentin Royer Prediction

Sebastian Ofner

Rank: #141
47%
VS

Valentin Royer

Rank: #111
53%
Predicted Games Played: 24.0
Predicted Winner: Valentin Royer

Player Metrics

Sebastian Ofner

Form Index: 25.8
ELO Rating: 1046.7
Glicko2 Rating: 1629.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 5.8
Clay: 8.6
Grass: 7.3
Serve Rating: 97.1
Return Rating: 84.8

Valentin Royer

Form Index: 61.6
ELO Rating: 471.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1539.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 213.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 3.0
Clay: 2.9
Grass: 4.4
Serve Rating: 94.6
Return Rating: 88.6

Recent Matches

Sebastian Ofner

  • Last Match: vs Reilly Opelka (0-2) hard Toronto 115 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Jan-Lennard Struff (0-2) clay Kitzbuhel 64 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Damir Dzumhur (0-2) clay Bastad 87 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Grigor Dimitrov (0-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Tommy Paul (3-1) grass Wimbledon 174 min

Valentin Royer

  • Last Match: vs Liam Draxl (2-1) hard Cincinnati 145 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Juan Pablo Ficovich (2-0) hard Cincinnati 68 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Nicolas Arseneault (0-2) hard Toronto 103 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Alvin Nicholas Tudorica (2-0) hard Toronto 63 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Adrian Mannarino (1-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Sebastian Ofner
vs
0
Valentin Royer
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Sebastian Ofner and Valentin Royer at the Cincinnati Masters 1000 tournament promises to be an intriguing contest. Set on hard courts in Ohio, this round of 128 matchup features two players with contrasting recent performances. Valentin Royer is predicted to emerge victorious with a probability of 53.23%, while Sebastian Ofner has a 46.77% chance of winning. The match is anticipated to see a total of around 24 games played.

Match Analysis

Sebastian Ofner currently holds a rank of 141 and possesses a form index of 25.83, indicating he has struggled recently. His Elo rating of 1046.69 is reflective of his current form, and he has a surface strength index of 5.77, suggesting that hard courts are not his most favorable surface. Notably, Ofner has a mean serve index of 97.07, which is considerably higher than Royer's 94.59, creating a difference of over 5 points that could play a crucial role in the match. However, his mean return index of 84.80 is lower than Royer's 88.56 by a significant margin, which may give Royer an advantage on return games. In contrast, Valentin Royer, ranked 111, exhibits a much stronger recent form with a form index of 61.56. Despite a higher cumulative fatigue of 213 minutes from previous matches, he has shown resilience, winning his last two matches in Cincinnati. His Elo rating of 471.28 suggests a solid competitive edge, especially given his recent victories. Royer’s performance in the Cincinnati tournament has been encouraging, particularly with his recent win against Liam Draxl, allowing him to gain momentum heading into this match.

Final Prediction

Valentin Royer is positioned as the predicted winner due to his recent form and superior mean return index, which could translate into crucial breaks against Ofner. The key factor to watch will be how well Ofner can utilize his serve to counteract Royer's returning capabilities, particularly in the early stages of the match.