Mallorca Spain Grass Atp 250 Semifinals

Tallon Griekspoor vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Prediction

Tallon Griekspoor

Rank: #35
51%
VS

Felix Auger-Aliassime

Rank: #27
49%
Predicted Games Played: 24.0
Predicted Winner: Tallon Griekspoor

Player Metrics

Tallon Griekspoor

Form Index: 70.1
ELO Rating: 1562.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1701.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 178.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 15.2
Clay: 10.9
Grass: 10.7
Serve Rating: 98.1
Return Rating: 85.1

Felix Auger-Aliassime

Form Index: 57.2
ELO Rating: 1444.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1673.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 241.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 12.1
Clay: 13.0
Grass: 12.7
Serve Rating: 96.3
Return Rating: 85.7

Recent Matches

Tallon Griekspoor

  • Last Match: vs Gabriel Diallo (2-0) grass Mallorca 88 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Ethan Quinn (2-0) grass Mallorca 90 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Alexander Zverev (0-2) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Ethan Quinn (3-2) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Gabriel Diallo (3-1) clay Roland Garros 174 min

Felix Auger-Aliassime

  • Last Match: vs Hamad Medjedovic (2-1) grass Mallorca 129 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Arthur Rinderknech (2-0) grass Mallorca 112 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Karen Khachanov (1-2) grass Halle 100 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Laslo Djere (2-1) grass Halle 125 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Taylor Fritz (0-2) grass Stuttgart 88 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Tallon Griekspoor
vs
0
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the semifinals of the Mallorca tournament held on grass courts, Tallon Griekspoor faces Felix Auger-Aliassime in a closely contested matchup. With both players showcasing strong performances leading up to this match, Griekspoor is predicted to edge out with a 50.50% chance of winning, while Auger-Aliassime holds a 49.50% probability. The expected total number of games played in this encounter is projected to be around 24.

Match Analysis

Tallon Griekspoor, currently ranked 35, boasts a form index of 70.11 and an Elo rating of 1562.11. His cumulative fatigue from the tournament stands at 178 minutes, which is relatively manageable. Griekspoor's surface strength index is 10.67, indicating decent performance on grass, while his mean serve index of 98.07 gives him a slight edge over Auger-Aliassime in this aspect. Felix Auger-Aliassime, ranked 27, has a lower form index of 57.25 and an Elo rating of 1444.27. His greater fatigue level at 241 minutes may impact his performance, though he has a slightly higher surface strength index of 12.73. The mean serve index difference between the two players is narrow, with Auger-Aliassime at 96.33, which is less than a 5-point gap, while their mean return indices are closely matched as well. Both players have exhibited strong performances in their last three matches. Griekspoor has won his last two matches without dropping a set, displaying consistency and confidence, especially on grass. In contrast, Auger-Aliassime has faced a more challenging path, winning two out of three matches, including a hard-fought victory over Hamad Medjedovic, where he dropped a set. This indicates that while Auger-Aliassime is capable of competing at a high level, he may have to dig deeper against Griekspoor, who is riding a wave of momentum.

Final Prediction

Tallon Griekspoor's recent form and higher serve index provide him with a slight advantage heading into this semifinal clash. The key factor to monitor will be Griekspoor's ability to maintain his serving efficiency, especially considering Auger-Aliassime's potential fatigue from longer matches earlier in the tournament. This match promises to be a captivating battle, with both players bringing their strengths to the grass court.