Washington DC, U.S.A. Hard Atp 500 Round of 32

Taylor Fritz vs Aleksandar Vukic Prediction

Taylor Fritz

Rank: #4
71%
VS

Aleksandar Vukic

Rank: #105
29%
Expected Total Games: 22.0
Predicted Winner: Taylor Fritz

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Ranking Trends

Taylor Fritz

  • Current #4 2025-07-21
  • 3 mo ago #4 2025-04-21
  • 6 mo ago #4 2025-01-13
  • 9 mo ago #6 2024-10-21
  • 12 mo ago #11 2024-07-22

Aleksandar Vukic

  • Current #105 2025-07-21
  • 3 mo ago #83 2025-04-21
  • 6 mo ago #68 2025-01-13
  • 9 mo ago #72 2024-10-21
  • 12 mo ago #60 2024-07-22

Player Metrics

Taylor Fritz

Form Index: 90.3
ELO Rating: 4317.8
Glicko2 Rating: 1811.1
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 34.3
Clay: 37.4
Grass: 44.7
Serve Rating: 98.6
Return Rating: 86.2

Aleksandar Vukic

Form Index: 49.3
ELO Rating: 733.9
Glicko2 Rating: 1554.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 100.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 8.3
Clay: 5.1
Grass: 7.9
Serve Rating: 96.0
Return Rating: 86.4

Recent Matches

Taylor Fritz
❌ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅

Aleksandar Vukic
✅ ❌ ❌ ✅ ❌

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

1
Taylor Fritz
vs
0
Aleksandar Vukic
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
1 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match in the Round of 32 at the Washington tournament features Taylor Fritz and Aleksandar Vukic competing on hard courts. With Fritz ranked 4th and carrying a strong form index, he is favored to win with a probability of 71.24%. In contrast, Vukic, ranked 105th, has a lower chance of victory at 28.76%. The predicted total number of games played is 22.0.

Match Analysis

Taylor Fritz boasts a rank of 4 and an impressive form index of 90.35, suggesting he is in peak condition. His Elo rating stands at 4317.77, indicating a strong competitive edge. Furthermore, Fritz has a fatigue level of 0.0 minutes, indicating he is fresh and ready to perform. His surface strength index of 34.28 illustrates his proficiency on hard courts, complemented by a mean serve index of 98.57 and a mean return index of 86.24. The significant difference in mean serve index of over 2 points gives him an added advantage against Vukic. On the other hand, Aleksandar Vukic is currently ranked 105th with a form index of 49.26, reflecting a less favorable competitive state. His Elo rating of 733.87 and a fatigue level of 100.0 minutes indicate he may be feeling the effects of previous matches. Vukic's surface strength index is notably lower at 8.30, and while his mean serve index of 95.98 is competitive, it still lags behind Fritz's. The mean return index of 86.44 is relatively close, but not enough to offset the other disparities.

Final Prediction

Taylor Fritz's superior ranking, form, and freshness give him a significant edge heading into this match against Aleksandar Vukic. A key factor to monitor will be Fritz's serve, particularly given his higher mean serve index, which could dictate the pace and outcome of the match.

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