Stuttgart Germany Grass Atp 250 Semifinals

Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Taylor Fritz Prediction

Felix Auger-Aliassime

Rank: #29
40%
VS

Taylor Fritz

Rank: #7
60%
Predicted Games Played: 24.0
Predicted Winner: Taylor Fritz

Player Metrics

Felix Auger-Aliassime

Form Index: 50.6
ELO Rating: 1441.6
Glicko2 Rating: 1668.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 175.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 12.1
Clay: 13.0
Grass: 12.5
Serve Rating: 97.7
Return Rating: 85.6

Taylor Fritz

Form Index: 47.4
ELO Rating: 4305.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1784.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 158.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 34.3
Clay: 37.4
Grass: 44.7
Serve Rating: 97.3
Return Rating: 86.4

Recent Matches

Felix Auger-Aliassime

  • Last Match: vs Justin Engel (2-0) grass Stuttgart 98 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard (2-0) grass Stuttgart 77 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Matteo Arnaldi (2-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Andrey Rublev (0-2) clay Hamburg 85 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Alexandre Muller (2-1) clay Hamburg 178 min

Taylor Fritz

  • Last Match: vs Marton Fucsovics (2-0) grass Stuttgart 75 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Quentin Halys (2-0) grass Stuttgart 83 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Daniel Altmaier (1-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Hubert Hurkacz (0-2) clay Geneva 85 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Quentin Halys (2-0) clay Geneva 95 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Felix Auger-Aliassime
vs
0
Taylor Fritz
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The semifinals of the Stuttgart tournament set the stage for an exciting clash on the grass courts of Germany between Felix Auger-Aliassime and Taylor Fritz. With Fritz predicted to win at a probability of 59.97%, compared to Auger-Aliassime's 40.03%, this match promises to be competitive. The expected total number of games played in this encounter is 24.

Match Analysis

Currently ranked 7th, Taylor Fritz boasts a higher Elo rating of 4304.97 compared to Felix Auger-Aliassime's 1441.64, reflecting his established presence in the sport. Fritz also has a slightly lower form index at 47.43, while Auger-Aliassime's form index stands at 50.57, indicating a marginally better recent performance from the Canadian. However, Fritz's surface strength index of 44.74 significantly outshines Auger-Aliassime's 12.54, suggesting that he is much more adept on grass. The cumulative fatigue levels are relatively close, with Fritz at 158 minutes and Auger-Aliassime at 175 minutes, indicating that fatigue should not be a major factor. Both players have shown solid form in their last three matches. Auger-Aliassime has secured victories against Justin Engel and Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard in Stuttgart, both matches won in straight sets, although he suffered a defeat to Matteo Arnaldi at Roland Garros prior to this tournament. Conversely, Fritz has also progressed smoothly through the Stuttagrt draw, defeating Marton Fucsovics and Quentin Halys without dropping a set. This consistency in performance underscores Fritz's capability to handle pressure better in the semifinal context.

Final Prediction

Taylor Fritz's clear advantages in terms of rank, experience, and surface strength give him an edge over Felix Auger-Aliassime in this semifinal showdown. The key factor to watch will be Fritz's service game, as both players possess strong serving capabilities, but Fritz's marginally superior serve index may play a crucial role in determining the outcome of this match.