Australian Open Australia Hard Grand Slam Round of 128

Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Aleksandar Vukic: AI Prediction | Games, Aces & Double Faults

Thiago Agustin Tirante

Rank: #103
27%
VS

Aleksandar Vukic

Rank: #87
73%
Expected Total Games: 38.9
Predicted Winner: Aleksandar Vukic

Player Metrics

Thiago Agustin Tirante

Form Index: 44.6
ELO Rating: 582.8
Glicko2 Rating: 1550.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 3.3
Clay: 3.6
Grass: 4.3
Serve Rating: 55.8
Return Rating: 53.2

Aleksandar Vukic

Form Index: 57.2
ELO Rating: 785.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1588.8
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 20.4
Clay: 12.1
Grass: 15.6
Serve Rating: 98.8
Return Rating: 93.0

Recent Matches

Thiago Agustin Tirante

  • Last Match: vs Andrea Vavassori (0-2) hard Adelaide 83 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Jesper de Jong (2-1) hard Adelaide 124 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Zsombor Piros (0-2) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Jack Kennedy (2-0) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Luca Nardi (0-2) hard Cincinnati 117 min

Aleksandar Vukic

  • Last Match: vs Tommy Paul (0-2) hard Adelaide 62 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Andrea Vavassori (2-0) hard Adelaide 105 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Stefanos Tsitsipas (2-0) hard Adelaide 113 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Jacob Fearnley (2-1) hard Adelaide 133 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Luca Nardi (2-1) hard Adelaide 125 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Thiago Agustin Tirante
vs
0
Aleksandar Vukic
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The matchup between Thiago Agustin Tirante and Aleksandar Vukic at the Australian Open marks an exciting Round of 128 clash on hard courts. Vukic is predicted to emerge victorious, with a probability of winning set at 72.86%, while Tirante's chances stand at 27.14%. The match is expected to yield around 38.87 games in total.

Match Analysis

In terms of rankings, Aleksandar Vukic sits at 87, while Thiago Agustin Tirante is ranked 103. Vukic's form index of 57.17 significantly outstrips Tirante's 44.58, reflecting a more consistent performance on the court. Vukic's Elo rating of 785.43 also indicates a stronger competitive history compared to Tirante's 582.83. Both players come into this match with zero cumulative fatigue, which could play a role in their endurance throughout the match. On hard surfaces, Vukic's surface strength index of 20.36 is notably higher than Tirante's 3.30, suggesting he is more adept at performing on this type of court. The difference in their mean serve indexes, with Vukic at 98.78 and Tirante at 55.83, reveals a substantial edge for Vukic in terms of serving ability. Looking at their recent performances, Vukic has shown promise by winning two out of his last three matches, including impressive victories over established opponents like Stefanos Tsitsipas. In contrast, Tirante has struggled, managing to win just one of his last three matches, with a particularly disappointing result against Andrea Vavassori in his most recent outing.

Total Games Predictions

🎾
Expected Total Games in Match 38.9 Most likely outcome: 38 games

📊 Total Games Probability Distribution

Distribution

Probability of each total games outcome

Cumulative Probability (CDF)

Probability of total games ≤ X

Aces and Double Faults Predictions

The match is expected to feature around 10.06 aces, with a predicted total of 5.63 double faults. On hard courts, which balance both power and precision, the expected aces prediction aligns well with Vukic's superior serve performance. Given his high mean serve index, it is likely that he will contribute significantly to the ace count, while Tirante may struggle to match this output, potentially leading to a higher number of double faults.
🎯
Expected Total Aces 10.1 Most likely: 10 aces
Expected Total Double Faults 5.6 Most likely: 5 double faults

🎯 Aces Probability Distribution

Distribution

Probability of each ace count outcome

Cumulative Probability (CDF)

Probability of aces ≤ X

Double Faults Probability Distribution

Distribution

Probability of each double fault count outcome

Cumulative Probability (CDF)

Probability of double faults ≤ X

Final Prediction

Aleksandar Vukic's clear advantages in serving capability and recent form position him as the favored player in this matchup. A key factor to monitor during the match will be Vukic's ability to capitalize on his serve, which could heavily influence the outcome.

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