Umag Croatia Clay Atp 250 Round of 32

Titouan Droguet vs Cristian Garin Prediction

Titouan Droguet

Rank: #174
43%
VS

Cristian Garin

Rank: #117
57%
Predicted Games Played: 22.0
Predicted Winner: Cristian Garin

Player Metrics

Titouan Droguet

Form Index: 66.1
ELO Rating: 420.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1552.1
Current Fatigue (minutes): 209.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 3.0
Clay: 3.6
Grass: 2.9
Serve Rating: 95.8
Return Rating: 87.6

Cristian Garin

Form Index: 40.6
ELO Rating: 506.2
Glicko2 Rating: 1567.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 4.7
Clay: 5.5
Grass: 4.0
Serve Rating: 94.5
Return Rating: 87.2

Recent Matches

Titouan Droguet

  • Last Match: vs Vilius Gaubas (2-1) clay Umag 131 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Niels McDonald (2-0) clay Umag 78 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Valentin Royer (0-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Taro Daniel (2-1) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Andrea Pellegrino (2-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min

Cristian Garin

  • Last Match: vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli (0-2) clay Bastad 123 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Arthur Rinderknech (2-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Chris Rodesch (3-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Giulio Zeppieri (2-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Hady Habib (1-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Titouan Droguet
vs
0
Cristian Garin
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 32 at the Umag tournament in Croatia, clay specialists Titouan Droguet and Cristian Garin face off. Cristian Garin is predicted to emerge victorious with a win probability of 57.36%, while Titouan Droguet holds a 42.64% chance of winning. The match is expected to be competitive, with a predicted total of 22 games played.

Match Analysis

Titouan Droguet, currently ranked 174, has a form index of 66.12 and an Elo rating of 420.32, indicating a decent level of play despite his lower ranking. He has accumulated 209 minutes of fatigue in this tournament, which may affect his performance. His surface strength index sits at 3.57, suggesting he is still finding his footing on clay. Droguet's mean serve index of 95.81 is notable, while his mean return index of 87.59 reflects solid returning capabilities. The gap between his serve and return indices is minimal, which may influence his overall effectiveness in this matchup. Cristian Garin, ranked 117, has a form index of 40.63 and a higher Elo rating of 506.22, indicating his experience and historical performance on the tour. Notably, Garin has not accumulated any fatigue in this tournament, which may provide him an advantage as the match progresses. His surface strength index of 5.51 indicates a stronger performance on clay compared to Droguet. Despite a slight discrepancy in their mean serve indices, Garin's mean return index of 87.17 is still competitive. Both players have struggled in their recent matches, with Droguet winning two of his last three and Garin losing two of his last three.

Final Prediction

Cristian Garin possesses an edge in experience and surface proficiency, making him the favored player in this encounter. The key factor to watch will be how the fatigue levels of Droguet may impact his performance against Garin's fresh legs on the clay surface.