Adelaide Australia Hard Atp 250 Round of 16

Tomas Machac vs Quentin Halys Prediction

Tomas Machac

Rank: #35
45%
VS

Quentin Halys

Rank: #91
55%
Expected Total Games: 24.0
Predicted Winner: Quentin Halys

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Ranking Trends

Tomas Machac

  • Current #35 2026-01-05
  • 3 mo ago #30 2025-10-13
  • 6 mo ago #22 2025-07-14
  • 9 mo ago #20 2025-04-14
  • 12 mo ago #25 2025-01-13

Quentin Halys

  • Current #91 2026-01-05
  • 3 mo ago #77 2025-10-13
  • 6 mo ago #52 2025-07-14
  • 9 mo ago #54 2025-04-14
  • 12 mo ago #74 2025-01-13

Player Metrics

Tomas Machac

Form Index: 34.6
ELO Rating: 1360.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1679.8
Current Fatigue (minutes): 71
Surface Strength:
Hard: 35.4
Clay: 28.0
Grass: 30.3
Serve Rating: 3.9
Return Rating: 39.6

Quentin Halys

Form Index: 83.1
ELO Rating: 773.2
Glicko2 Rating: 1592.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 249
Surface Strength:
Hard: 25.9
Clay: 21.9
Grass: 16.9
Serve Rating: 99.1
Return Rating: 91.4

Recent Matches

Tomas Machac
✅ ❌ ❌ ❌ ❌

Quentin Halys
✅ ✅ ✅ ❌ ✅

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Tomas Machac
vs
1
Quentin Halys
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 1
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The Round of 16 match at the Adelaide tournament sees Tomas Machac face off against Quentin Halys on hard court. With Quentin Halys slightly favored to win, he holds a probability of 55.35%, while Tomas Machac is at 44.65%. The predicted total number of games played is 24.0.

Match Analysis

Tomas Machac, currently ranked 35, has a form index of 34.60 and an Elo rating of 1360.35. His cumulative fatigue stands at 71 minutes, which is relatively low. However, his surface strength index of 35.43 indicates that he may not be as effective on hard courts as desired. In contrast, Quentin Halys, ranked 91 with a form index of 83.14, significantly outperforms Machac in terms of fatigue with 249 minutes logged on court. Halys’s Elo rating of 773.21 and surface strength index of 25.88 denote a player who, while struggling with fatigue, has been in better form recently. Notably, Halys boasts an impressive mean serve index of 99.08 compared to Machac's 3.90, representing a significant advantage. In their recent performances, Machac managed a convincing victory against James Duckworth, winning 2-0, but prior losses to Jiri Lehecka and Flavio Cobolli may reflect inconsistencies. Halys, on the other hand, has been in formidable form, winning all three of his last matches in straight sets, indicating a streak of strong performances as he navigates through the tournament.

Final Prediction

Quentin Halys's recent form and significant advantage in serve strength give him an edge over Tomas Machac in this matchup. A key factor to monitor during the match will be Halys's ability to maintain his serve effectiveness, especially given the potential for fatigue.

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