Paris France Hard Masters 1000 Round of 64

Tomas Martin Etcheverry vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Prediction

Tomas Martin Etcheverry

Rank: #58
65%
VS

Camilo Ugo Carabelli

Rank: #49
35%
Predicted Games Played: 22.0
Predicted Winner: Tomas Martin Etcheverry

Player Metrics

Tomas Martin Etcheverry

Form Index: 56.7
ELO Rating: 1128.9
Glicko2 Rating: 1624.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 183.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 10.4
Clay: 9.6
Grass: 9.8
Serve Rating: 97.2
Return Rating: 87.5

Camilo Ugo Carabelli

Form Index: 18.2
ELO Rating: 737.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1548.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 5.4
Clay: 6.9
Grass: 4.4
Serve Rating: 95.0
Return Rating: 88.5

Recent Matches

Tomas Martin Etcheverry

  • Last Match: vs Jesper de Jong (2-0) hard Paris 88 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Pedro Martinez (2-0) hard Paris 95 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Lorenzo Musetti (0-2) hard Vienna 93 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer (2-0) hard Vienna 69 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Holger Rune (1-2) hard Stockholm 153 min

Camilo Ugo Carabelli

  • Last Match: vs Filip Misolic (0-2) hard Vienna 135 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Aleksandar Kovacevic (1-2) hard Stockholm 124 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Alex de Minaur (0-2) hard Shanghai 88 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Terence Atmane (0-1) hard Shanghai 38 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (0-2) hard Beijing 64 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

2
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
vs
0
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Hard
1 - 0
Clay
1 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 64 at the Masters 1000 event in Paris, Tomas Martin Etcheverry is set to face Camilo Ugo Carabelli on hard courts. The matchup shows Etcheverry as the favored player, with a probability of winning at 64.80% compared to Carabelli's 35.20%. The predicted total number of games played in this encounter is approximately 22.

Match Analysis

Tomas Martin Etcheverry, currently ranked 58th, has a form index of 56.67 and an Elo rating of 1128.88. His cumulative fatigue from the tournament stands at 183 minutes, which is relatively moderate for this phase. He boasts a surface strength index of 10.37, indicating a solid performance capability on hard courts. Notably, his mean serve index is 97.19, which is significantly higher than Carabelli's 95.01, suggesting that Etcheverry's serve could pose a significant challenge for his opponent. Additionally, his mean return index of 87.49 is slightly lesser than Carabelli’s 88.54, but the difference is minimal. In contrast, Camilo Ugo Carabelli, ranked 49th, presents a lower form index of 18.17 and an Elo rating of 736.98. He has yet to accumulate any fatigue in the current tournament, which could provide him with an advantage in endurance. However, his recent performances have been concerning, as he has lost his last three matches, including two consecutive defeats in Vienna and Stockholm, where he won only one set across those matches. In comparison, Etcheverry has displayed a stronger form, winning his two most recent matches in Paris without dropping a set.

Final Prediction

Tomas Martin Etcheverry's superior ranking, recent form, and a stronger serve index provide him with a notable edge over Camilo Ugo Carabelli. A key factor to watch during the match will be how effectively Carabelli can handle Etcheverry's serve, as it may determine the outcome of crucial points.