Vienna Austria Hard Atp 500 Round of 16

Tomas Martin Etcheverry vs Lorenzo Musetti Prediction

Tomas Martin Etcheverry

Rank: #60
35%
VS

Lorenzo Musetti

Rank: #8
65%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Lorenzo Musetti

Ranking Trends

Tomas Martin Etcheverry

  • Current Rank: #60 (2025-10-20)
  • 3 Months Ago: #58 (2025-07-21)
  • 6 Months Ago: #51 (2025-04-21)
  • 9 Months Ago: #38 (2025-01-13)
  • 12 Months Ago: #36 (2024-10-21)

Lorenzo Musetti

  • Current Rank: #8 (2025-10-20)
  • 3 Months Ago: #7 (2025-07-21)
  • 6 Months Ago: #11 (2025-04-21)
  • 9 Months Ago: #15 (2025-01-13)
  • 12 Months Ago: #17 (2024-10-21)

Player Metrics

Tomas Martin Etcheverry

Form Index: 56.0
ELO Rating: 1113.5
Glicko2 Rating: 1616.8
Current Fatigue (minutes): 69.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 10.4
Clay: 9.6
Grass: 9.8
Serve Rating: 97.1
Return Rating: 87.3

Lorenzo Musetti

Form Index: 53.9
ELO Rating: 1975.9
Glicko2 Rating: 1725.1
Current Fatigue (minutes): 78.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 12.2
Clay: 24.0
Grass: 22.2
Serve Rating: 95.4
Return Rating: 87.9

Recent Matches

Tomas Martin Etcheverry
✅ ❌ ✅ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer (2-0) hard Vienna 69 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Holger Rune (1-2) hard Stockholm 153 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Miomir Kecmanovic (2-1) hard Stockholm 143 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Mark Lajal (2-1) hard Stockholm 175 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Corentin Moutet (1-1) hard Hangzhou 68 min

Lorenzo Musetti
✅ ❌ ✅ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Hamad Medjedovic (2-0) hard Vienna 78 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard (0-2) hard Brussels 83 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Yannick Hanfmann (2-0) hard Brussels 97 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Felix Auger-Aliassime (0-2) hard Shanghai 85 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Luciano Darderi (2-0) hard Shanghai 131 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
vs
1
Lorenzo Musetti
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 1
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The Round of 16 match at the Vienna tournament features Tomas Martin Etcheverry facing Lorenzo Musetti on hard courts. The predicted winner is Lorenzo Musetti, with a 64.88% probability of victory, compared to Tomas Martin Etcheverry's 35.12%. The anticipated total number of games played in this encounter is 23.0.

Match Analysis

Tomas Martin Etcheverry, currently ranked 60, holds a form index of 56.03 and an Elo rating of 1113.53. His cumulative fatigue stands at 69 minutes, which indicates a relatively lighter workload in the tournament compared to his opponent. His surface strength index of 10.36 is notably lower than Musetti's 12.21, suggesting that he may struggle on hard courts. Furthermore, his mean serve index of 97.12 is higher than Musetti’s 95.43, yet the difference is marginal and may not significantly influence the match's outcome. On the other hand, Musetti, ranked 8, has a solid form index of 53.93 and an impressive Elo rating of 1975.93, showcasing his higher skill level. In their recent performances, Etcheverry has demonstrated mixed results, winning two out of his last three matches, including a decisive win over Nicolai Budkov Kjaer in Vienna. His other match against Holger Rune ended in a loss despite a competitive effort. Musetti, meanwhile, has also won two out of his last three matches, but he faced an unexpected defeat against Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard in Brussels. However, he rebounded with a strong victory against Hamad Medjedovic in Vienna.

Final Prediction

Lorenzo Musetti's higher ranking, Elo rating, and superior surface strength index provide him with a distinct advantage in this matchup. The key factor to watch will be how both players manage their fatigue levels, as Musetti's slightly higher fatigue could impact his performance, but his overall game quality is expected to prevail.