Roland Garros France Clay Grand Slam Round of 128

Elmer Moller vs Tommy Paul Prediction

Elmer Moller

Rank: #111
22%
VS

Tommy Paul

Rank: #12
78%
Expected Total Games: 36.0
Predicted Winner: Tommy Paul

Also available in Claude. Query these predictions in plain language — our native connector lets Claude call our models on demand, no code.

Set it up

Ranking Trends

Elmer Moller

  • Current #111 2025-05-05
  • 3 mo ago #155 2025-02-24
  • 6 mo ago #152 2024-11-25
  • 9 mo ago #251 2024-08-26
  • 12 mo ago #270 2024-05-27

Tommy Paul

  • Current #12 2025-05-05
  • 3 mo ago #10 2025-02-24
  • 6 mo ago #12 2024-11-25
  • 9 mo ago #14 2024-08-26
  • 12 mo ago #14 2024-05-27

Player Metrics

Elmer Moller

Form Index: 62.2
ELO Rating: 420.7
Glicko2 Rating: 1519.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 522.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 2.9
Clay: 3.9
Grass: 3.2
Serve Rating: 93.6
Return Rating: 88.7

Tommy Paul

Form Index: 58.5
ELO Rating: 2711.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1786.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 18.2
Clay: 24.2
Grass: 26.2
Serve Rating: 95.6
Return Rating: 88.5

Recent Matches

Elmer Moller
❌ ✅ ✅ ❌ ✅

Tommy Paul
❌ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Jannik Sinner (1-2) clay Rome 103 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Hubert Hurkacz (2-0) clay Rome 118 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Alex de Minaur (2-0) clay Rome 114 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Tomas Machac (2-1) clay Rome 143 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Roberto Bautista Agut (2-0) clay Rome 80 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Elmer Moller
vs
0
Tommy Paul
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The matchup between Elmer Moller and Tommy Paul at Roland Garros marks an intriguing Round of 128 clash on the clay surface. With Tommy Paul heavily favored to win, he has a probability of 78.21% compared to Elmer Moller's 21.79%. The predicted total number of games played in this contest is set at 36.

Match Analysis

Tommy Paul, currently ranked 12th, possesses a significantly higher Elo rating of 2711.38 and a form index of 58.48, indicating his solid performance in recent matches. In contrast, Elmer Moller sits at rank 111 with a lower Elo rating of 420.65 and a form index of 62.15. While Moller shows a decent form index, his cumulative fatigue of 522 minutes from the current tournament may hinder his performance against a fresher opponent like Paul, who has zero minutes of fatigue thus far. When examining their serve and return capabilities, Paul has a mean serve index of 95.61, which is only marginally higher than Moller's 93.59. However, where Paul shines is in his surface strength index of 24.21, significantly outpacing Moller's 3.86. Both players have shown varying performances in their last three matches. Moller recently lost to Matteo Gigante but secured victories against Kimmer Coppejans and Facundo Bagnis. Meanwhile, Paul lost to Jannik Sinner but won against Hubert Hurkacz and Alex de Minaur, indicating his potential to bounce back.

Final Prediction

Tommy Paul's superior rank, experience, and surface strength provide him with a considerable edge heading into this match. A key factor to monitor will be how well Moller manages his fatigue levels against a more rested Paul, which could significantly influence the match's outcome.

Get Daily Tennis Predictions

Enjoyed this analysis? Subscribe to our Telegram channel and receive daily AI-driven tennis predictions directly on your phone.

Join Our Telegram Channel