Shanghai China Hard Masters 1000 Round of 64

Ugo Humbert vs Jordan Thompson Prediction

Ugo Humbert

Rank: #24
50%
VS

Jordan Thompson

Rank: #78
50%
Expected Total Games: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Jordan Thompson

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Ranking Trends

Ugo Humbert

  • Current #24 2025-09-22
  • 3 mo ago #18 2025-06-30
  • 6 mo ago #20 2025-03-31
  • 9 mo ago #14 2024-12-30
  • 12 mo ago #15 2024-09-30

Jordan Thompson

  • Current #78 2025-09-22
  • 3 mo ago #44 2025-06-30
  • 6 mo ago #35 2025-03-31
  • 9 mo ago #26 2024-12-30
  • 12 mo ago #28 2024-09-30

Player Metrics

Ugo Humbert

Form Index: 15.6
ELO Rating: 1450.2
Glicko2 Rating: 1652.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 15.0
Clay: 15.1
Grass: 17.6
Serve Rating: 97.0
Return Rating: 84.7

Jordan Thompson

Form Index: 40.6
ELO Rating: 1258.5
Glicko2 Rating: 1591.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 128.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 13.1
Clay: 11.8
Grass: 13.6
Serve Rating: 96.1
Return Rating: 86.5

Recent Matches

Ugo Humbert
❌ ❌ ❌ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Jenson Brooksby (0-2) hard Tokio 104 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Adam Walton (1-3) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Frances Tiafoe (0-2) hard Cincinnati 83 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Coleman Wong (2-0) hard Cincinnati 67 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Gael Monfils (2-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min

Jordan Thompson
✅ ❌ ❌ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs August Holmgren (2-1) hard Shanghai 128 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Brandon Nakashima (1-2) hard Tokio 184 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Alejandro Tabilo (0-2) hard Chengdu 79 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Adrian Mannarino (1-3) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Corentin Moutet (3-1) hard Us Open 174 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

1
Ugo Humbert
vs
1
Jordan Thompson
Hard
1 - 1
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The matchup between Ugo Humbert and Jordan Thompson in the Round of 64 at the Shanghai Masters 1000 promises to be an intriguing contest. Both players have shown varying levels of form leading up to this event, with a very close probability of winning: 49.93% for Humbert and 50.07% for Thompson. The predicted total number of games played is 23.0, suggesting a competitive match.

Match Analysis

Ugo Humbert currently holds a rank of 24, which is significantly higher than Jordan Thompson’s rank of 78. Despite this ranking disparity, Humbert's form index sits at 15.63, indicating recent struggles, whereas Thompson's form index of 40.63 suggests he has been in better shape recently. From an Elo rating perspective, Humbert leads with 1450, compared to Thompson's 1258. However, fatigue may play a role; Thompson has accumulated 128 minutes of court time in this tournament, whereas Humbert has none. On the surface strength index, Humbert scores 14.97, slightly ahead of Thompson's 13.05, but the difference is marginal. In their recent performances, Humbert has faced challenges, losing all three of his last matches, including a straight-sets defeat to Jenson Brooksby in Tokyo. Thompson, on the other hand, managed to secure a victory against August Holmgren in Shanghai, demonstrating a more favorable trajectory. This contrast in form could significantly influence their upcoming match.

Final Prediction

Jordan Thompson's recent victory and superior form index give him a slight edge over Ugo Humbert, despite the latter's higher ranking and Elo rating. A critical factor to monitor will be Thompson's ability to manage his fatigue against Humbert, who has yet to exert himself in this tournament.

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