Hangzhou China Hard Atp 250 Semifinals

Valentin Royer vs Corentin Moutet Prediction

Valentin Royer

Rank: #88
42%
VS

Corentin Moutet

Rank: #39
58%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Corentin Moutet

Ranking Trends

Valentin Royer

  • Current Rank: #88 (2025-09-15)
  • 3 Months Ago: #114 (2025-06-16)
  • 6 Months Ago: #121 (2025-03-17)
  • 9 Months Ago: #197 (2024-12-16)
  • 12 Months Ago: #213 (2024-09-16)

Corentin Moutet

  • Current Rank: #39 (2025-09-15)
  • 3 Months Ago: #89 (2025-06-16)
  • 6 Months Ago: #76 (2025-03-17)
  • 9 Months Ago: #70 (2024-12-16)
  • 12 Months Ago: #69 (2024-09-16)

Player Metrics

Valentin Royer

Form Index: 57.4
ELO Rating: 684.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1563.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 682.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 5.2
Clay: 2.8
Grass: 4.2
Serve Rating: 96.4
Return Rating: 88.4

Corentin Moutet

Form Index: 48.4
ELO Rating: 1248.9
Glicko2 Rating: 1636.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 295.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 9.6
Clay: 9.3
Grass: 8.4
Serve Rating: 94.8
Return Rating: 88.7

Recent Matches

Valentin Royer
✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Learner Tien (2-1) hard Hangzhou 158 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Andrey Rublev (2-0) hard Hangzhou 108 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Aleksandar Kovacevic (2-1) hard Hangzhou 152 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Eliot Spizzirri (2-1) hard Hangzhou 163 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Charles Chen (2-0) hard Hangzhou 101 min

Corentin Moutet
✅ ✅ ❌ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Tomas Martin Etcheverry (1-1) hard Hangzhou 68 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Arthur Cazaux (2-1) hard Hangzhou 227 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Jordan Thompson (1-3) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Alex Michelsen (1-2) hard Cincinnati 146 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Mackenzie McDonald (2-0) hard Cincinnati 91 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Valentin Royer
vs
0
Corentin Moutet
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming semifinal match at the Hangzhou tournament in China features Valentin Royer facing off against Corentin Moutet on hard courts. With Moutet holding a slight edge in the predicted outcome, he is favored to win with a probability of 58.04%, while Royer has a 41.96% chance of emerging victorious. The predicted total number of games played is set at 23.0.

Match Analysis

Valentin Royer is currently ranked 88 with an Elo rating of 684.25 and a form index of 57.43. His cumulative fatigue from the tournament stands at 682 minutes, reflecting the physical demands he has faced. Royer's surface strength index of 5.25 indicates a solid, yet not exceptional, performance on hard courts. In contrast, Corentin Moutet, ranked 39 and boasting an Elo rating of 1248.87, has a form index of 48.36. His cumulative fatigue is significantly lower at 295 minutes, suggesting he may be fresher for this critical match. Moutet's surface strength index of 9.60 denotes a stronger capability on hard surfaces compared to Royer. When examining the players' recent performances, Royer has triumphed in his last three matches, including wins against notable players like Andrey Rublev, indicating good form. His most recent match was a competitive three-set battle against Learner Tien. Moutet has also secured victories in his last three matches, although he faced a setback at the US Open against Jordan Thompson. His recent matches have shown resilience, particularly in a grueling contest against Arthur Cazaux, despite his lower form index.

Final Prediction

Corentin Moutet's higher rank, Elo rating, and lower fatigue level provide him with a distinct advantage heading into this semifinal. A key factor to monitor will be Moutet's ability to maintain his energy levels, especially considering the cumulative fatigue he carries from earlier matches.