Hangzhou China Hard Atp 250 Quarterfinals

Valentin Royer vs Learner Tien Prediction

Valentin Royer

Rank: #88
42%
VS

Learner Tien

Rank: #54
58%
Predicted Games Played: 22.0
Predicted Winner: Learner Tien

Player Metrics

Valentin Royer

Form Index: 54.7
ELO Rating: 623.2
Glicko2 Rating: 1557.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 524.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 4.6
Clay: 2.8
Grass: 4.2
Serve Rating: 96.4
Return Rating: 88.3

Learner Tien

Form Index: 48.3
ELO Rating: 1119.6
Glicko2 Rating: 1621.6
Current Fatigue (minutes): 215.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 9.8
Clay: 4.6
Grass: 5.9
Serve Rating: 94.6
Return Rating: 87.9

Recent Matches

Valentin Royer

  • Last Match: vs Andrey Rublev (2-0) hard Hangzhou 108 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Aleksandar Kovacevic (2-1) hard Hangzhou 152 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Eliot Spizzirri (2-1) hard Hangzhou 163 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Charles Chen (2-0) hard Hangzhou 101 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Denis Shapovalov (1-3) hard Us Open 174 min

Learner Tien

  • Last Match: vs Giulio Zeppieri (2-0) hard Hangzhou 73 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Mariano Navone (2-1) hard Hangzhou 142 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Novak Djokovic (0-3) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Andrey Rublev (0-2) hard Cincinnati 104 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Leandro Riedi (2-0) hard Cincinnati 78 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Valentin Royer
vs
0
Learner Tien
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the quarterfinals of the ATP 250 tournament in Hangzhou, China, Valentin Royer faces off against Learner Tien on hard court. The match is expected to be competitive, with Tien predicted to win, holding a probability of 58.26% compared to Royer's 41.74%. Analysts forecast a total of 22 games to be played in this encounter.

Match Analysis

Valentin Royer, currently ranked 88, has a form index of 54.73 and an Elo rating of 623.22. He has shown resilience in the tournament, but his cumulative fatigue stands at 524 minutes, which may impact his performance. His surface strength index of 4.65 indicates that he may struggle on this hard court compared to his opponent. In contrast, Learner Tien is ranked 54 with a form index of 48.28 and a significantly higher Elo rating of 1119.57. Tien's fatigue level is notably lower at 215 minutes, suggesting he is fresher heading into this match. Furthermore, Tien boasts a surface strength index of 9.80, providing him with a considerable advantage. Both players have had strong showings in their recent matches. Royer has won his last three matches in Hangzhou, defeating notable opponents such as Andrey Rublev and Aleksandar Kovacevic. Tien, meanwhile, has also showcased his skill by winning against Giulio Zeppieri and Mariano Navone, but faced a tough challenge against Novak Djokovic at the US Open. While Royer has a slightly better mean serve index of 96.40 compared to Tien's 94.63, the difference in their mean return index is marginal (88.34 for Royer vs. 87.95 for Tien), indicating that both players are fairly matched in terms of returning serve.

Final Prediction

Learner Tien's superior rank, lower fatigue, and higher surface strength index give him a distinct edge over Valentin Royer in this quarterfinal match. The key factor to watch will be Tien's ability to maintain his energy levels against Royer, who has been on a winning streak but may be challenged by fatigue after three intense matches.