Shanghai China Hard Masters 1000 Round of 128

Valentin Royer vs Mariano Navone Prediction

Valentin Royer

Rank: #76
59%
VS

Mariano Navone

Rank: #82
41%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Valentin Royer

Ranking Trends

Valentin Royer

  • Current Rank: #76 (2025-09-22)
  • 3 Months Ago: #113 (2025-06-30)
  • 6 Months Ago: #116 (2025-03-31)
  • 9 Months Ago: #197 (2024-12-30)
  • 12 Months Ago: #182 (2024-09-30)

Mariano Navone

  • Current Rank: #82 (2025-09-22)
  • 3 Months Ago: #91 (2025-06-30)
  • 6 Months Ago: #61 (2025-03-31)
  • 9 Months Ago: #47 (2024-12-30)
  • 12 Months Ago: #38 (2024-09-30)

Player Metrics

Valentin Royer

Form Index: 60.3
ELO Rating: 767.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1575.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 201.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 5.9
Clay: 2.8
Grass: 4.2
Serve Rating: 96.9
Return Rating: 88.3

Mariano Navone

Form Index: 19.1
ELO Rating: 903.2
Glicko2 Rating: 1560.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 7.0
Clay: 10.2
Grass: 8.7
Serve Rating: 94.8
Return Rating: 89.9

Recent Matches

Valentin Royer
✅ ✅ ❌ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Billy Harris (2-0) hard Shanghai 151 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Titouan Droguet (2-0) hard Shanghai 50 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Alexander Bublik (0-2) hard Hangzhou 111 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Corentin Moutet (2-0) hard Hangzhou 86 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Learner Tien (2-1) hard Hangzhou 158 min

Mariano Navone
❌ ❌ ❌ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Sho Shimabukuro (0-2) hard Tokio 79 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Learner Tien (1-2) hard Hangzhou 142 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Marcos Giron (1-3) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Yunchaokete Bu (0-2) hard Winston Salem 100 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Marcos Giron (2-0) hard Winston Salem 84 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Valentin Royer
vs
0
Mariano Navone
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Valentin Royer and Mariano Navone in the Round of 128 at the Shanghai Masters 1000 promises to be an exciting contest on hard courts. Valentin Royer is favored to win with a probability of 58.50%, while Mariano Navone's chances stand at 41.50%. The predicted total number of games played is set at 23.0.

Match Analysis

Valentin Royer, currently ranked 76, has a solid form index of 60.29 and an Elo rating of 767.27. His cumulative fatigue stands at 201 minutes, reflecting his recent matches in Shanghai. On the other hand, Mariano Navone, ranked 82, has a significantly lower form index of 19.05, alongside an Elo rating of 903.19, indicating a less favorable recent performance. Navone's fatigue is notably at 0 minutes, which could give him an edge in terms of physical readiness. The surface strength index favors Navone slightly at 7.03 compared to Royer's 5.91, suggesting he could perform well on hard courts. When analyzing their serving and returning capabilities, Royer boasts a mean serve index of 96.85, while Navone's is slightly lower at 94.75, creating a difference of over 5 points. This edge in serving could prove crucial in tight situations during the match. Additionally, Royer’s mean return index of 88.32 is comparable to Navone’s 89.92, which shows that both players are capable in return games, but Navone holds a slight advantage here.

Final Prediction

Valentin Royer appears to have the upper hand due to his better recent form and serving strength. His ability to capitalize on service games will be a key factor to monitor, especially against Navone, who has struggled in his last few matches. The dynamics of fatigue and performance will play a critical role in determining the match outcome.