Shanghai China Hard Masters 1000 Round of 16

Valentin Vacherot vs Tallon Griekspoor Prediction

Valentin Vacherot

Rank: #204
33%
VS

Tallon Griekspoor

Rank: #31
67%
Predicted Games Played: 24.0
Predicted Winner: Tallon Griekspoor

Player Metrics

Valentin Vacherot

Form Index: 59.9
ELO Rating: 659.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1565.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 565.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 4.9
Clay: 4.5
Grass: 3.1
Serve Rating: 96.9
Return Rating: 86.1

Tallon Griekspoor

Form Index: 37.1
ELO Rating: 1212.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1680.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 262.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 12.3
Clay: 10.5
Grass: 10.1
Serve Rating: 96.4
Return Rating: 85.0

Recent Matches

Valentin Vacherot

  • Last Match: vs Tomas Machac (1-0) hard Shanghai 53 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Alexander Bublik (2-1) hard Shanghai 109 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Laslo Djere (2-0) hard Shanghai 84 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Liam Draxl (2-1) hard Shanghai 168 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Nishesh Basavareddy (2-1) hard Shanghai 151 min

Tallon Griekspoor

  • Last Match: vs Jannik Sinner (2-1) hard Shanghai 156 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Jenson Brooksby (2-1) hard Shanghai 106 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Corentin Moutet (0-2) hard Beijing 109 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Taro Daniel (1-2) hard Chengdu 115 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Adrian Mannarino (0-3) hard Us Open 174 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Valentin Vacherot
vs
0
Tallon Griekspoor
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming Round of 16 match at the Shanghai Masters 1000 will see Valentin Vacherot take on Tallon Griekspoor on hard courts. With Griekspoor holding a significant advantage, he is predicted to win with a probability of 67.07%, while Vacherot's chances stand at 32.93%. The predicted total number of games played in this match is 24.

Match Analysis

Valentin Vacherot, currently ranked 204, boasts a form index of 59.89 and an Elo rating of 659.13. His cumulative fatigue at 565 minutes suggests he has been on court quite a bit during this tournament. Vacherot's surface strength index of 4.95 indicates he may struggle on hard courts. In contrast, Tallon Griekspoor, ranked 31, has a much higher Elo rating of 1212.25 and a lower fatigue level of 262 minutes, which should benefit his performance. Griekspoor's surface strength index of 12.34 also indicates a better adaptation to hard courts than Vacherot. Notably, the mean serve index difference is marginal, with Vacherot at 96.94 and Griekspoor at 96.45. However, Griekspoor has a slight edge in mean return index, where Vacherot leads by only 1.09 points. Both players have shown solid form in their last three matches. Vacherot has won all three of his encounters in Shanghai, including a notable victory against Alexander Bublik. His recent performances indicate a positive momentum. On the other hand, Griekspoor has also been successful in his last two matches, defeating Jannik Sinner and Jenson Brooksby, although he did face a setback against Corentin Moutet prior. Griekspoor's overall performance reflects resilience and the ability to win in high-pressure situations.

Final Prediction

Tallon Griekspoor's higher ranking, lower fatigue, and superior Elo rating provide him with a significant edge in this matchup against Valentin Vacherot. A key factor to monitor will be Griekspoor's ability to leverage his strong return game, potentially putting Vacherot on the defensive early on in the match.