Shanghai China Hard Masters 1000 Round of 32

Valentin Vacherot vs Tomas Machac Prediction

Valentin Vacherot

Rank: #202
25%
VS

Tomas Machac

Rank: #22
75%
Expected Total Games: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Tomas Machac

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Player Metrics

Valentin Vacherot

Form Index: 59.2
ELO Rating: 604.9
Glicko2 Rating: 1557.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 512.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 4.2
Clay: 4.5
Grass: 3.1
Serve Rating: 96.8
Return Rating: 85.8

Tomas Machac

Form Index: 55.0
ELO Rating: 1148.7
Glicko2 Rating: 1599.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 108.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 13.2
Clay: 14.0
Grass: 13.1
Serve Rating: 95.1
Return Rating: 86.7

Recent Matches

Valentin Vacherot

Tomas Machac

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Valentin Vacherot
vs
0
Tomas Machac
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Valentin Vacherot and Tomas Machac is set to take place in the Round of 32 at the Shanghai Masters 1000 tournament on hard courts. With a significant disparity in rankings and performance metrics, Tomas Machac is predicted to win, boasting a probability of 74.97% compared to Vacherot's 25.03%. The anticipated total number of games played in this match is 23.0.

Match Analysis

Tomas Machac, currently ranked 22, presents a robust Elo rating of 1148.71, showcasing his competitive edge on the professional circuit. His form index stands at 54.96, while he has a relatively low cumulative fatigue of 108 minutes, indicating he is fresh and ready for the challenge. In contrast, Valentin Vacherot is significantly lower in rank at 202, with an Elo rating of 604.87. His form index of 59.16 suggests some recent improvement, yet the cumulative fatigue of 512 minutes may impact his performance. Notably, Machac's surface strength index of 13.21 puts him at a considerable advantage over Vacherot's 4.20. The difference in their serve indices is marginal (Machac at 95.13 and Vacherot at 96.80), while Vacherot’s return index of 85.76 slightly outperforms Machac’s 86.65. In their most recent performances, Machac has shown resilience despite a rocky stretch, winning his last match convincingly against Mattia Bellucci. However, he has struggled against higher-ranked opponents in prior matches. Vacherot, on the other hand, has triumphed in his last three matches, demonstrating a strong comeback, including a notable win against Alexander Bublik in his latest outing. This recent form may provide him with a psychological boost heading into the match.

Final Prediction

Tomas Machac's superior ranking and lower fatigue levels give him a distinct edge over Valentin Vacherot in this matchup. The key factor to observe will be how Vacherot manages his fatigue, particularly against a well-prepared opponent like Machac, who will likely capitalize on any opportunities presented.

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