Vit Kopriva vs Ignacio Buse: AI Prediction | Games, Spread, Aces & Double Faults

The model’s edge for Buse is driven primarily by age-related factors and his overall record/opposition quality, with smaller contributions from overall strength; Kopriva picks up ground via serve-and-return metrics and recent performances. Buse sits higher in the rankings (No. 35 vs No. 64), carries a higher form_index (53.5 vs 39.9) and a superior Elo (1717 vs 1662), but also more court time in this event (111 vs 80 minutes), which could matter late in rallies on grass. Kopriva’s surface strength index is slightly lower (7.10) than Buse’s (9.13), though both indexes are modest. Where Kopriva threatens is in return quality: his mean return index (95.25) comfortably exceeds Buse’s (88.54) by more than five points, which is reflected in the model giving Kopriva a boost for serve & return. Their serve indexes are nearly identical (95.34 vs 95.71), so neither should have a large serving-only edge. Recent form shows Buse at 2–1 in his last three, including a straight-sets win over Stefanos Tsitsipas in Mallorca, while Kopriva is 1–2 in that stretch with a Mallorca win but losses to higher seeds at Halle and Roland Garros.