Washington DC, U.S.A. Hard Atp 500 Round of 64

Yoshihito Nishioka vs Jenson Brooksby Prediction

Yoshihito Nishioka

Rank: #89
29%
VS

Jenson Brooksby

Rank: #102
71%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Jenson Brooksby

Player Metrics

Yoshihito Nishioka

Form Index: 4.5
ELO Rating: 907.7
Glicko2 Rating: 1585.8
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 9.2
Clay: 6.8
Grass: 7.5
Serve Rating: 97.0
Return Rating: 86.2

Jenson Brooksby

Form Index: 51.9
ELO Rating: 994.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1589.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 1.6
Clay: 4.9
Grass: 4.3
Serve Rating: 94.5
Return Rating: 88.0

Recent Matches

Yoshihito Nishioka

  • Last Match: vs Grigor Dimitrov (0-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Yannick Hanfmann (0-2) grass Halle 68 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Learner Tien (1-1) grass Stuttgart 105 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Alexei Popyrin (1-2) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Dusan Lajovic (0-2) clay Rome 80 min

Jenson Brooksby

  • Last Match: vs Joao Fonseca (1-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Tallon Griekspoor (3-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Taylor Fritz (0-2) grass Eastbourne 86 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Ugo Humbert (2-1) grass Eastbourne 167 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Daniel Evans (2-0) grass Eastbourne 83 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Yoshihito Nishioka
vs
0
Jenson Brooksby
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Yoshihito Nishioka and Jenson Brooksby at the ATP 500 tournament in Washington, DC, promises to be an intriguing contest on hard courts. With both players seeking to advance through the round of 64, Jenson Brooksby is favored to win with a probability of 70.56%, while Nishioka's chances stand at 29.44%. The predicted total number of games played is estimated to be around 23.

Match Analysis

Yoshihito Nishioka, currently ranked 89, has a form index of 4.54 and an Elo rating of 907.66. His cumulative fatigue stands at 0 minutes, suggesting he is fresh for this matchup. Nishioka's surface strength index is 9.22, with a mean serve index of 97.02 and a mean return index of 86.23. In contrast, Jenson Brooksby, ranked 102, has a significantly higher form index of 51.86 and an Elo rating of 994.36. Like Nishioka, he also has a fatigue level of 0 minutes. Brooksby’s surface strength index is lower at 1.57, with a mean serve index of 94.54 and a mean return index of 87.97. Notably, the difference in their mean serve index exceeds 5 points, favoring Nishioka, while the return index is quite close. In their recent performances, Nishioka has struggled, losing all his last three matches, with a particularly disappointing exit at Wimbledon against Grigor Dimitrov. His form has been declining on grass, leading to early exits. Brooksby’s record is mixed; he won against Tallon Griekspoor but fell short in his other two matches, including a recent loss to Joao Fonseca. His ability to secure a win in a challenging match suggests a stronger mental fortitude compared to Nishioka's recent form.

Final Prediction

Jenson Brooksby holds the edge in this matchup due to his higher form index and Elo rating, indicating a better recent performance despite his inconsistent results. The key factor to watch will be Brooksby’s ability to neutralize Nishioka's serve, as the serve discrepancy could play a significant role in determining the outcome of the match.